Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 7

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday

Location: Porta Elisa (Lucca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252


	Lucchese		Milan Futuro

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.85
	2.35	3	3.1
	2.36	3.1	3.14
	2.38	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3	3
	2.25	3.08	3.03	Watch
	2.35	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.02)	3.04 ↓ (3.25)	3.05 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucchese
39.7%

Draw
30.2%

Milan Futuro
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.9%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

27.6%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucchese's form might have worsened.

Milan Futuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucchese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan Futuro than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Lucchese - Milan Futuro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Palmisani L. (G) 30. Gemignani A. 33. Sabbione A. 6. Gasbarro A. 14. Quirini E. 8. Tumbarello G. 24. Welbeck N. 21. Visconti E. 29. Antoni E. 70. Saporiti E. 18. Sasanelli L.	35. Raveyre N. (G) 2. Jimenez A. 15. Coubis A. 24. Minotti G. 4. Bartesaghi D. 5. Hodzic D. 21. Sandri M. 11. Cuenca Martinez H. F. 18. Zeroli K. 17. Fall M. 9. Camarda F.
Substitutes
12. Allegrucci L. (G) 23. Botrini T. 31. Catanese G. 1. Coletta J. (G) 7. Djibril M. 4. Dumbravanu D. 19. Fedato F. 5. Frison F. 77. Giacchino G. 38. Leone M. 9. Magnaghi S. 71. Moschella M. 11. Ndiaye B. 10. Selvini A.	8. Alesi G. 3. Bozzolan A. 14. D'Alessio L. 13. Dutu M. 6. Malaspina M. 1. Mastrantonio D. (G) 28. Traore C. 32. Turco N. 33. Zukic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Saporiti E. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Hodzic D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Sandri M. 🟨,
64', Jimenez A. 🟨,
65', Cuenca Martinez H. F. ↓, Traore C. ↑,
65', Sandri M. ↓, Malaspina M. ↑,
67', Camarda F. 🟨,
75', Bartesaghi D. ↓, Bozzolan A. ↑,
75', Jimenez A. ↓, D'Alessio L. ↑,
75', Sasanelli L. ↓, Selvini A. ↑,
76', Sabbione A. 🟨,
78', Saporiti E. ↓, Fedato F. ↑,
81', Camarda F. ↓, Turco N. ↑,
89', Quirini E. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Milan U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
25.09.24	Lucchese - Pianese	3:3 ✺
22.09.24	Ascoli - Lucchese	1:2 ✺
16.09.24	Lucchese - Rimini	2:2 ✺
08.09.24	SPAL - Lucchese	2:3 ✺
30.08.24	Lucchese - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TWTWL
- Milan Futuro
Italian Serie C Group B
26.09.24	Milan Futuro - SPAL	2:1 ✺
23.09.24	Rimini - Milan Futuro	1:0 ✺
18.09.24	Sassari Torres - Milan Futuro	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Milan Futuro - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
01.09.24	Milan Futuro - Carpi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTLT

Lucchese - Milan Futuro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide