Match Info

Serie C - Play Out - Final

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Felice Chinetti (Solbiate Arno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Milan Futuro		SPAL

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.35
	2.85	3.15	2.46
	2.97	3.15	2.5
	2.9	3.1	2.51	Watch
	2.86	3.04	2.38
	2.85	3.15	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.42)	3.12 ↑ (3.1)	2.44 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan Futuro
32.5%

Draw
29.7%

SPAL
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

30.2%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

30%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan Futuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milan Futuro's form might have worsened.

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPAL's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan Futuro than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan Futuro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPAL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Milan Futuro - SPAL Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - SPAL (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. SPAL (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nava L. (G) 8. Alesi G. 4. Bartesaghi D. 3. Bozzolan A. 23. Branca S. 44. Camporese M. (C) 77. Ianesi S. 24. Minotti G. 41. Quirini E. 21. Sandri M. 28. Traore C.	12. Galeotti C. (G) 23. Arena M. 3. Bruscagin M. 28. Calapai L. 6. Fiordaliso A. 25. Molina J. I. 29. Nador S. 18. Ntenda J. 4. Paghera F. 27. Parigini V. 40. Spini C.
Substitutes
13. Dutu M. 26. Eletu V. 17. Fall M. 19. Magni V. 6. Malaspina M. 29. Omoregbe B. 31. Paloschi D. 22. Pittarella M. (G) 27. Scotti F. 20. Sia D. 38. Torriani L. (G) 32. Turco N. 16. Vladimirov V. 55. Vos S.	7. Antenucci M. 5. Awua T. 26. Bassoli A. 77. Bidaoui S. 33. D'Orazio L. 8. El Kaddouri O. 15. Haoudi H. 9. Karlsson O. 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 19. Mignanelli D. 99. Nina C. 10. Radrezza I. 11. Rao E. 34. Stagni T. (G) 20. Zammarini R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Molina J. I. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Sandri M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Spini C. ↓, Haoudi H. ↑,
46', Paghera F. ↓, Awua T. ↑,
60', Molina J. I. ↓, Antenucci M. ↑,
60', Parigini V. ↓, Karlsson O. ↑,
70', Ianesi S. 🟨,
72', Calapai L. ↓, Zammarini R. ↑,
72', Branca S. 🟨,
76', Branca S. ↓, Malaspina M. ↑,
76', Traore C. ↓, Turco N. ↑,
76', Alesi G. ↓, Sia D. ↑,
86', Ianesi S. ↓, Omoregbe B. ↑,
89', Sandri M. 🟨,
90+5', Sandri M. ↓, Eletu V. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Milan U23 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, SPAL has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Milan U23 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Milan U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milan Futuro
Italian Serie C Group B
27.04.25	Milan Futuro - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
23.04.25	Gubbio - Milan Futuro	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Milan Futuro - Ternana	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Sestri Levante - Milan Futuro	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Milan Futuro - Campobasso	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TLWWW
- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
27.04.25	SPAL - Gubbio	3:0 ✺
23.04.25	Vis Pesaro - SPAL	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	SPAL - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Sassari Torres - SPAL	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	SPAL - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
01.02.25	SPAL - Milan Futuro	1:2
26.09.24	Milan Futuro - SPAL	2:1

Milan Futuro - SPAL: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide