Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 6

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Porta Elisa (Lucca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport 258


	Lucchese		Pianese

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	4.75
	1.7	3.5	4.75
	1.71	3.54	5.05
	1.78	3.51	4.6	Watch
	1.62	3.4	5
	1.66	3.4	4.94	Watch
	1.65	3.45	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.85)	3.47 ↑ (3.25)	4.86 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucchese
54.7%

Draw
26.4%

Pianese
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

28.2%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

26.9%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucchese's performance.

Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Lucchese - Pianese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Palmisani L. (G) 33. Sabbione A. 6. Gasbarro A. 30. Gemignani A. 14. Quirini E. 8. Tumbarello G. (C) 24. Welbeck N. 31. Catanese G. 29. Antoni E. 70. Saporiti E. 19. Fedato F.	12. Boer P. (G) 15. Polidori M. 28. Indragoli G. 24. Chesti F. 77. Boccadamo A. 30. Proietto F. 8. Simeoni L. (C) 23. Nicoli S. 11. Odjer M. 46. Sorrentino L. 9. Mignani G.
Substitutes
12. Allegrucci L. (G) 23. Botrini T. 2. Ciucci D. 1. Coletta J. (G) 90. Costantino R. 7. Djibril M. 4. Dumbravanu D. 38. Leone M. 9. Magnaghi S. 71. Moschella M. 11. Ndiaye B. 18. Sasanelli L. 10. Selvini A. 21. Visconti E.	67. Barbetti F. 21. Colombo M. 7. Da Pozzo L. 73. Falleni A. 1. Filippis E. (G) 10. Mastropietro F. 5. Pacciardi F. 19. Papini A. 22. Reali A. (G) 18. Reali S. 25. Spinosa L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', Antoni E. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Mignani G. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Odjer M. 🟨,
48', 1 - 1, Gemignani A. ⚽,
52', 2 - 1, Fedato F. ⚽,
57', Saporiti E. 🟨,
60', Proietto F. ↓, Colombo M. ↑,
60', Simeoni L. ↓, Mastropietro F. ↑,
60', Nicoli S. ↓, Da Pozzo L. ↑,
62', 3 - 1, Quirini E. ⚽,
68', 3 - 2, Odjer M. ⚽,
72', Saporiti E. ↓, Sasanelli L. ↑,
72', Fedato F. ↓, Selvini A. ↑,
73', Sorrentino L. ↓, Falleni A. ↑,
78', Chesti F. 🟨,
82', Gemignani A. ↓, Ndiaye B. ↑,
83', Chesti F. ↓, Spinosa L. ↑,
87', 🟨,
87', Odjer M. 🟥,
90+1', 3 - 3, Colombo M. ⚽,
90+3', Selvini A. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 14).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Lucchese is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
22.09.24	Ascoli - Lucchese	1:2 ✺
16.09.24	Lucchese - Rimini	2:2 ✺
08.09.24	SPAL - Lucchese	2:3 ✺
30.08.24	Lucchese - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
23.08.24	Pineto - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WTWLT
- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
22.09.24	Pianese - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
16.09.24	Pescara - Pianese	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	Pianese - Campobasso	2:0 ✺
02.09.24	Ascoli - Pianese	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Pianese - Perugia	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWLT

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