The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pianese 28%
Draw 28.6%
Virtus Entella 43.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.8%
29.1%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.1%
28.4%
41.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Pianese - Virtus Entella Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Boer P. (G) 15. Polidori M. 24. Chesti F. 5. Pacciardi F. 77. Boccadamo A. 21. Colombo M. 8. Simeoni L. 7. Da Pozzo L. 73. Falleni A. 10. Mastropietro F. 9. Mignani G.
99. Siaulys O. (G) 16. Manzi C. 6. Tiritiello A. 23. Parodi L. 70. Bariti D. 24. Franzoni A. 21. Lipani J. 14. Corbari A. 43. Ndrecka A. 77. Guiu B. 9. Castelli D.
Substitutes
67. Barbetti F. 1. Filippis E. (G) 28. Indragoli G. 23. Nicoli S. 19. Papini A. 30. Proietto F. 22. Reali A. (G) 18. Reali S. 46. Sorrentino L. 25. Spinosa L.
10. Casarotto M. 40. Costa G. 22. Del Frate F. (G) 26. Di Mario S. 47. Di Noia G. 15. Marconi I. 1. Paroni A. (G) 90. Portanova D. 29. Santini C. 8. Siatounis A. 7. Tomaselli G. 32. Zappella D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Mastropietro F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Franzoni A. ⚽,
55', Falleni A. ↓, Proietto F. ↑,
55', Lipani J. 🟨,
71', Mignani G. ↓, Sorrentino L. ↑,
71', Castelli D. ↓, Santini C. ↑,
71', Ndrecka A. ↓, Di Mario S. ↑,
71', Da Pozzo L. ↓, Nicoli S. ↑,
71', Corbari A. ↓, Siatounis A. ↑,
76', Di Mario S. 🟨,
90', Polidori M. 🟨,
90+2', Parodi L. 🟨,
Preview
Pianese is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Virtus Entella is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Virtus Entella could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Virtus Entella will have a small advantage in this match.