Match Info

Date: 7 February 2021, Sunday


	Lucchese		Pro Vercelli

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.2	1.7
	4.1	3.2	1.8
	4	3.3	1.8
	4.3	3.2	1.76
	4.68	3.61	1.79
	4.33	3.4	1.8
	4.45	3.48	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (3.6)	3.34 ↑ (3.07)	1.77 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucchese
20.9%

Draw
27.4%

Pro Vercelli
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

29.5%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

22.1%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Pro Vercelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pro Vercelli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Vercelli than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pro Vercelli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lucchese - Pro Vercelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Recent matches Lucchese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pro Vercelli is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lucchese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pro Vercelli is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group A
03.02.21	Grosseto - Lucchese	2:1 ✺
31.01.21	Lucchese - Novara	1:4 ✺
24.01.21	Pergolettese - Lucchese	0:2 ✺
16.01.21	Lucchese - Renate	1:1 ✺
10.01.21	Lecco - Lucchese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LLWTT
- Pro Vercelli
Italian Serie C Group A
03.02.21	Pro Vercelli - Renate	3:0 ✺
30.01.21	Pro Vercelli - Pro Patria	0:0 ✺
23.01.21	Novara - Pro Vercelli	1:2 ✺
17.01.21	Pro Vercelli - Carrarese	3:1 ✺
10.01.21	Piacenza - Pro Vercelli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
11.10.20	Pro Vercelli - Lucchese	2:1
13.04.19	Pro Vercelli - Lucchese	0:0
13.12.18	Lucchese - Pro Vercelli	1:1

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