Match Info

Date: 14 April 2022, Thursday


	Grosseto		Lucchese

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.65	2.87	Watch
	2.28	2.9	3.05
	2.4	2.75	2.75
	2.57	2.87	2.94
	2.45	2.8	2.88
	2.48	3.02	2.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.27)	2.83 ↓ (3)	2.9 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grosseto
36.8%

Draw
31.9%

Lucchese
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

30.1%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grosseto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Grosseto - Lucchese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grosseto won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Grosseto won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie C Group B
09.04.22	Pescara - Grosseto	2:1 ✺
03.04.22	Grosseto - Siena	0:0 ✺
27.03.22	Montevarchi - Grosseto	1:1 ✺
19.03.22	Grosseto - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
15.03.22	Grosseto - Pontedera	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LTTWT
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
09.04.22	Carrarese - Lucchese	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Lucchese - Pescara	2:1 ✺
27.03.22	Siena - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
19.03.22	Lucchese - Gubbio	2:2 ✺
15.03.22	Montevarchi - Lucchese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
12.12.21	Lucchese - Grosseto	0:0
Italian Serie C Group A
03.02.21	Grosseto - Lucchese	2:1
07.10.20	Lucchese - Grosseto	0:2
Italian Serie C Group B
18.03.15	Grosseto - Lucchese	1:1
03.11.14	Lucchese - Grosseto	2:1

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