Match Info

Date: 16 January 2021, Saturday


	Lucchese		Renate

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.72
	4.75	3.25	1.7
	4.3	3.35	1.68
	5	3.35	1.63
	5.24	3.4	1.76
	5.25	3.3	1.7
	4.65	3.5	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↓ (5.41)	3.39 ↓ (3.56)	1.7 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucchese
19.2%

Draw
27%

Renate
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

25.6%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

21.8%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Renate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lucchese - Renate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion to Serie B).

Recent matches Lucchese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Renate is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Renate is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group A
10.01.21	Lecco - Lucchese	2:2 ✺
23.12.20	Lucchese - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
20.12.20	Livorno - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
13.12.20	Lucchese - Piacenza	1:0 ✺
06.12.20	Lucchese - Alessandria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TTTWL
- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
10.01.21	Renate - Pro Sesto	2:0 ✺
23.12.20	Juventus U23 - Renate	1:2 ✺
20.12.20	Renate - Pistoiese	2:1 ✺
13.12.20	Olbia - Renate	2:2 ✺
05.12.20	Renate - Giana Erminio	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
01.04.17	Renate - Lucchese	0:0
13.11.16	Lucchese - Renate	1:1

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