The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Luckenwalde 20.3%
Draw 21.3%
Carl Zeiss Jena 58.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
20.2%
20.9%
58.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.7%
20.4%
60.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luckenwalde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Carl Zeiss Jena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luckenwalde than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carl Zeiss Jena than the current prediction. (+2%)
Luckenwalde - Carl Zeiss Jena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Butendeich P. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Fritz M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 1 - 2, Werner J. ⚽,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luckenwalde won 0.
Luckenwalde is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Carl Zeiss Jena have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Carl Zeiss Jena may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Carl Zeiss Jena has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Carl Zeiss Jena is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Luckenwalde has recorded 0 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:29 (averaging 0.3:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Luckenwalde against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 2:9 goals (averaging 0.3:1.3 per game).
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