Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 11

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Luckenwalde		Carl Zeiss Jena

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.6	1.78
	4.51	3.7	1.75
	3.86	3.6	1.78
	3.33	3.8	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.33)	3.68 ↑ (3.6)	1.81 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luckenwalde
23.7%

Draw
25.2%

Carl Zeiss Jena
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

25.5%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

24.6%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luckenwalde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Carl Zeiss Jena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luckenwalde than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carl Zeiss Jena than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Luckenwalde - Carl Zeiss Jena Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carl Zeiss Jena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Butzen N. ⚽,
39', Weihrauch P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 1, Merke R. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga North).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luckenwalde won 0.

Luckenwalde has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Carl Zeiss Jena is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Luckenwalde may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Carl Zeiss Jena is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Luckenwalde won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 3:27. (average 0.2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Luckenwalde won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV 63 Luckenwalde
German Regionalliga Nordost
27.09.25	Luckenwalde - Chemie Leipzig	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Greifswald - Luckenwalde	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Luckenwalde - Hertha Zehlendorf	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Luckenwalde	4:0 ✺
29.08.25	Luckenwalde - Altglienicke	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLL
- Carl Zeiss Jena
German Regionalliga Nordost
01.10.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - Chemnitzer	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Meuselwitz - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - Eilenburg	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Chemie Leipzig - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
27.04.25	Luckenwalde - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:1
01.11.24	Carl Zeiss Jena - Luckenwalde	2:2
24.02.24	Luckenwalde - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:3
02.09.23	Carl Zeiss Jena - Luckenwalde	3:0
09.04.23	Carl Zeiss Jena - Luckenwalde	3:0
23.10.22	Luckenwalde - Carl Zeiss Jena	1:1
06.04.22	Carl Zeiss Jena - Luckenwalde	2:0

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