Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	Luckenwalde		Union Fürstenwalde

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.1	5
	1.44	4.7	5.1
	1.44	4.7	5.6
	1.45	5.11	5.59
	1.44	4.95	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.75)	4.71 ↑ (4)	5.49 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luckenwalde
63.6%

Draw
19.6%

Union Fürstenwalde
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

22.7%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

25.7%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luckenwalde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luckenwalde's performance.

Union Fürstenwalde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Union Fürstenwalde might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luckenwalde than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Fürstenwalde than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Union Fürstenwalde could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Luckenwalde - Union Fürstenwalde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Luckenwalde won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Luckenwalde could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Luckenwalde is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Luckenwalde won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Luckenwalde won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV 63 Luckenwalde
German Regionalliga Nordost
14.04.22	Tennis Borussia Berlin - Luckenwalde	0:0 ✺
10.04.22	Luckenwalde - Auerbach	3:0 ✺
06.04.22	Carl Zeiss Jena - Luckenwalde	2:0 ✺
02.04.22	Luckenwalde - Optik Rathenow	1:1 ✺
20.03.22	Berliner FC Dynamo - Luckenwalde	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLTL
- FSV Union Fürstenwalde
German Regionalliga Nordost
17.04.22	Union Fürstenwalde - Chemie Leipzig	0:0 ✺
10.04.22	Hertha Berlin II - Union Fürstenwalde	5:0 ✺
05.04.22	Union Fürstenwalde - Lichtenberg	2:0 ✺
01.04.22	Babelsberg - Union Fürstenwalde	1:2 ✺
27.03.22	Union Fürstenwalde - Germania Halberstadt	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
31.10.21	Union Fürstenwalde - Luckenwalde	0:3
30.08.20	Luckenwalde - Union Fürstenwalde	1:2
04.04.18	Luckenwalde - Union Fürstenwalde	2:2
10.09.17	Union Fürstenwalde - Luckenwalde	5:3
13.04.17	Luckenwalde - Union Fürstenwalde	3:2
23.10.16	Union Fürstenwalde - Luckenwalde	0:1
German Oberliga NOFV-Nord
22.05.15	Luckenwalde - Union Fürstenwalde	4:1

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