Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Relegation Group

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Lucksta		Boden City

	1	X	2
	1.59	4.15	4.09
	1.58	4.05	4.56
	1.6	4	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.6)	4.07 ↑ (4)	4.3 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucksta
56.8%

Draw
22.2%

Boden City
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

22.5%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

21.6%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucksta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Boden City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucksta than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boden City than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Lucksta - Boden City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 1)

Preview

Lucksta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Boden City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lucksta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Boden City has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lucksta is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lucksta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucksta IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
20.09.25	Bergnäsets - Lucksta	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Lucksta - Boden	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Lucksta - Täfteå	1:3 ✺
03.09.25	Friska Viljor - Lucksta	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Lucksta - Kiruna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL
- Boden City
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
15.09.25	Boden City - Bergnäsets	3:2 ✺
07.09.25	Boden City - Boden	3:2 ✺
03.09.25	Täfteå - Boden City	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Boden City - Friska Viljor	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Boden City - Lucksta	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
24.08.25	Boden City - Lucksta	1:4

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