Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Promotion Group

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Lucksta		Skellefteå FF

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 (3.25)	3.8 ↑ (3.65)	1.9 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucksta
28%

Draw
24%

Skellefteå FF
48%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.1%

24.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

23.3%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucksta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Skellefteå FF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucksta than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skellefteå FF than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 8th and 3rd).

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

Lucksta may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Skellefteå is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Lucksta has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lucksta against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:4 goals.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Skelleftea	14	5	3	6	22:29	-7	45
8	Lucksta	14	4	1	9	23:32	-9	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucksta IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
03.10.26	Lucksta - IFK Östersunds	2:5 ✺
27.09.26	Lucksta - Täfteå	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Luleå - Lucksta	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	Kubikensborgs - Lucksta	4:2 ✺
12.09.26	Lucksta - Gottne	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW
- Skellefteå FF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
03.10.26	Luleå - Skellefteå FF	4:2 ✺
26.09.26	Skellefteå FF - Gottne	0:3 ✺
19.09.26	Boden - Skellefteå FF	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Skellefteå FF - Täfteå	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	IFK Östersunds - Skellefteå FF	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
05.10.24	Lucksta - Skellefteå FF	3:4
15.06.24	Skellefteå FF - Lucksta	0:0

Lucksta - Skellefteå FF