Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 15

Date: 31 October 2022, Monday


	Ludogorets II		Vitosha Bistritsa

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.3	4.2
	1.66	3.65	4.3
	1.57	3.75	4.95
	1.6	3.5	4.5
	1.58	3.56	5.4	Watch
	1.67	3.7	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.6)	3.58 ↓ (3.6)	4.61 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets II
55.3%

Draw
25.1%

Vitosha Bistritsa
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

24.7%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Vitosha Bistritsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets II than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitosha Bistritsa than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	23.1%	7.7%

Ludogorets II - Vitosha Bistritsa Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ludogorets II will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Vitosha will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets II: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 14).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Vitosha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ludogorets II is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ludogorets II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Ludogorets II won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.10.22	Montana - Ludogorets II	2:0 ✺
18.10.22	Ludogorets II - Botev Plovdiv II	1:0 ✺
11.10.22	Krumovgrad - Ludogorets II	1:0 ✺
04.10.22	Ludogorets II - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:1 ✺
17.09.22	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Ludogorets II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LWLWW
- Vitosha Bistritsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
22.10.22	Vitosha Bistritsa - Yantra Gabrovo	0:0 ✺
15.10.22	Sozopol - Vitosha Bistritsa	1:2 ✺
07.10.22	Vitosha Bistritsa - Maritsa Plovdiv	3:1 ✺
30.09.22	Dunav Ruse - Vitosha Bistritsa	4:1 ✺
18.09.22	Vitosha Bistritsa - Lovech	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
13.09.20	Vitosha Bistritsa - Ludogorets II	0:3
15.12.16	Ludogorets II - Vitosha Bistritsa	0:1

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