Match Info

Primera C - Round 28

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Lugano		Leones de Rosario

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.60	2.55
	2.95	2.85	2.32
	3.01	2.62	2.72
	3	2.65	2.61	Watch
	2.95	2.40	2.65
	3.01	2.88	2.57
	2.85	2.65	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 (2.95)	2.66 ↓ (2.95)	2.57 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano
30.7%

Draw
34%

Leones de Rosario
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Leones de Rosario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones de Rosario than the current prediction. (+3%)

Lugano - Leones de Rosario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In recent matches, Lugano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leones de Rosario is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Leones de Rosario may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lugano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lugano
Argentinian Primera C
06.09.26	Puerto Nuevo - Lugano	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Lugano - Berazategui	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Leandro N. Alem - Lugano	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Lugano - Club Luján	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Lugano - Victoriano Arenas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTWLT
- Leones de Rosario
Argentinian Primera C
04.09.26	Deportivo Yupanqui - Leones de Rosario	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Leones de Rosario - Atlas General Rodríguez	1:0 ✺
25.08.26	Leones de Rosario - Deportivo Muñiz	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Cañuelas - Leones de Rosario	1:0 ✺
17.08.26	Leones de Rosario - Defensores de Cambaceres	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
16.05.26	Leones de Rosario - Lugano	2:2

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