Match Info
Promotion LeagueDate: 4 October 2025, Saturday
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Lugano II |
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Paradiso |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.2 |
3.4 |
2.65 |
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 |
2.25 |
3.4 |
2.68 |
|
 |
2.31 |
3.51 |
2.83 |
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 |
17.10 |
8.77 |
1.11 |
 Watch |
 |
2.29 |
3.75 |
2.73 |
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 |
2.26 |
3.45 |
2.7 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.74 ↑
(1.91) |
4.38 ↑
(3.77) |
2.45 ↓
(3.17) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lugano II
24.9% | Draw
26.9% | Paradiso
48.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugano II's form might have worsened.Paradiso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paradiso's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano II than the current prediction. (+20.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugano II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paradiso than the current prediction. (-18.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paradiso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Lugano II - Paradiso Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Frizzi R. ⚽,
- 23', 1 - 1, Cirone G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 2, Cirone G. ⚽,
- 70', 2 - 2, Parente J. ⚽,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano II won 1.Recent performances by Lugano II have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).Paradiso's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lugano II won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Lugano II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Swiss Promotion League | | | 26.04.25 | Lugano II - Paradiso | 1:1 | | 30.11.24 | Paradiso - Lugano II | 2:1 | | 09.03.24 | Paradiso - Lugano II | 1:0 | | 02.09.23 | Lugano II - Paradiso | 2:1 | | Swiss 1 Liga Classic Group 3 | | | 20.05.23 | Lugano II - Paradiso | 0:1 | | 12.11.22 | Paradiso - Lugano II | 1:0 | | 05.03.22 | Paradiso - Lugano II | 0:0 |
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