Match Info

Premier League - Round 19

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Lugazi FC Stadium (Najjembe)


	Lugazi Municipal		NEC FC

	1	X	2
	3.55	2.78	2.15
	3.56	2.83	2.13
	3.4	2.8	2.1
	3.47	3.06	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.14)	2.87 ↓ (2.98)	2.13 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugazi Municipal
25.9%

Draw
31.6%

NEC FC
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

30.3%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

29.5%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugazi Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

NEC FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugazi Municipal than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC FC than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Lugazi Municipal - NEC FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Ssekamatte S. ⚽,
73', 0 - 2, Ssekamatte S. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 7).

Lugazi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

NEC is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

NEC could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lugazi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Lugazi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	NEC FC	4	3	1	0	9:2	7	10
8	Lugazi	5	2	0	3	4:9	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lugazi Municipal FC
Ugandan Super League
03.03.26	Vipers - Lugazi Municipal	3:0 ✺
18.02.26	Lugazi Municipal - UPDF	1:0 ✺
12.02.26	Police - Lugazi Municipal	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Villa - Lugazi Municipal	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Lugazi Municipal - Bul	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWLTW
- NEC FC
Ugandan Super League
03.03.26	NEC FC - UPDF	1:0 ✺
17.02.26	Vipers - NEC FC	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	NEC FC - Kampala City Council	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	NEC FC - Express	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Buhimba United Saints - NEC FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
07.01.26	NEC FC - Lugazi Municipal	1:0
01.03.25	NEC FC - Lugazi Municipal	2:0
30.10.24	Lugazi Municipal - NEC FC	1:0

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