Match Info

Date: 4 October 2021, Monday


	Luki-Energiya		Kairat Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.7	1.92
	3.05	3.7	1.89
	3.11	3.77	1.9
	3.1	3.74	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.95)	3.73 ↑ (3.55)	1.93 (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luki-Energiya
29.2%

Draw
24.2%

Kairat Moscow
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

24.7%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

17.2%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luki-Energiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Kairat Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luki-Energiya than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luki-Energiya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat Moscow than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kairat Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Luki Energiya - Kairat Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Luki-Energiya is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kairat is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Luki-Energiya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Luki-Energiya have a series of guest games.

Recently Kairat have a series of home games.

Kairat will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Luki-Energiya won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luki-Energiya Velikiye Luki
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
30.09.21	Dinamo Saint Petersburg - Luki-Energiya	4:0 ✺
14.09.21	Baltika 2 - Luki-Energiya	1:2 ✺
04.09.21	Leningradets - Luki-Energiya	6:0 ✺
29.08.21	Volga Tver - Luki-Energiya	3:0 ✺
15.08.21	Krasava Odintsovo - Luki-Energiya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWLLW
- Kairat Moscow
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
30.09.21	Kairat Moscow - Baltika 2	1:3 ✺
Russian Cup
22.09.21	Kairat Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	0:3 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
18.09.21	Kairat Moscow - Volga Tver	0:6 ✺
14.09.21	Chita - Kairat Moscow	1:1 ✺
10.09.21	Kairat Moscow - Krasava Odintsovo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 2
07.08.21	Kairat Moscow - Luki-Energiya	3:0

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