Match Info

Date: 1 November 2020, Sunday


	Luki-Energiya		Lokomotiv-Kazanka

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.9	1.7
	3.75	4	1.68
	3.95	3.85	1.63
	4.08	4.08	1.66
	4.2	3.94	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (2.47)	3.95 ↑ (3.58)	1.67 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luki-Energiya
22.8%

Draw
22.9%

Lokomotiv-Kazanka
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

25.5%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

18.4%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luki-Energiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luki-Energiya's form might have worsened.

Lokomotiv-Kazanka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotiv-Kazanka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luki-Energiya than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv-Kazanka than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Luki Energiya - Lokomotiv Kazanka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 7).

Luki-Energiya is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lokomotiv-Kazanka is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lokomotiv-Kazanka will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Luki-Energiya won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Luki-Energiya won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luki-Energiya Velikiye Luki
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
25.10.20	Murom - Luki-Energiya	3:1 ✺
13.10.20	Dynamo 2 Moscow - Luki-Energiya	6:0 ✺
09.10.20	Luki-Energiya - Rodina Moscow	0:1 ✺
03.10.20	Torpedo Vladimir - Luki-Energiya	2:0 ✺
27.09.20	Luki-Energiya - Kolomna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- Lokomotiv-Kazanka
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
25.10.20	Lokomotiv-Kazanka - Smolensk	4:0 ✺
17.10.20	Chita - Lokomotiv-Kazanka	2:2 ✺
13.10.20	Zenit Irkutsk - Lokomotiv-Kazanka	1:3 ✺
09.10.20	Lokomotiv-Kazanka - Olimp Dolgoprudny	2:2 ✺
03.10.20	Volga Tver - Lokomotiv-Kazanka	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian PFL West
12.10.19	Luki-Energiya - Lokomotiv-Kazanka	1:2
11.11.18	Lokomotiv-Kazanka - Luki-Energiya	1:0
17.08.18	Luki-Energiya - Lokomotiv-Kazanka	1:2
21.10.17	Lokomotiv-Kazanka - Luki-Energiya	3:1
27.07.17	Luki-Energiya - Lokomotiv-Kazanka	0:0

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