Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 31

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Lumezzane		Villa Valle

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5
	1.63	3.65	4.57
	1.53	3.5	5
	1.58	3.85	5.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.48)	3.65 ↓ (3.98)	4.93 ↓ (5.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lumezzane
57.1%

Draw
24.6%

Villa Valle
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

22.8%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

21.7%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Villa Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lumezzane, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Valle than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).

Lumezzane is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Villa Valle is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Villa Valle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lumezzane is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lumezzane won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie D - Group B
06.04.23	Arconatese - Lumezzane	2:1 ✺
01.04.23	Lumezzane - Desenzano Calvina	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Breno - Lumezzane	0:3 ✺
12.03.23	Lumezzane - Varesina	3:0 ✺
05.03.23	Real Calepina - Lumezzane	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWWW
- ASD Villa Valle
Italian Serie D - Group B
06.04.23	Villa Valle - Franciacorta	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Villa Valle	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Villa Valle - Folgore Caratese	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Varese - Villa Valle	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Villa Valle - Caronnese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
04.12.22	Villa Valle - Lumezzane	1:1

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