Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 27

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	Lumezzane		Varesina

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	3.9
	1.78	3.21	3.95
	1.77	3.44	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.54)	3.28 ↓ (3.59)	4.06 ↓ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lumezzane
50.4%

Draw
27.4%

Varesina
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

24.9%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

24.1%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lumezzane's form might have worsened.

Varesina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varesina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lumezzane, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Lumezzane is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Varesina is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Lumezzane is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lumezzane won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie D - Group B
05.03.23	Real Calepina - Lumezzane	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Lumezzane - Casatese	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Seregno - Lumezzane	0:5 ✺
12.02.23	Lumezzane - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Alcione - Lumezzane	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL
- ASD Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group B
05.03.23	Varesina - Franciacorta	3:5 ✺
26.02.23	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Varesina	2:3 ✺
19.02.23	Varesina - Folgore Caratese	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Varese - Varesina	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Varesina - Caronnese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
06.11.22	Varesina - Lumezzane	1:1

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