Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 26

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Real Calepina		Lumezzane

	1	X	2
	4.1	3	1.82
	3.9	3	1.9
	4.06	3.06	1.85
	4.2	3.6	1.67
	4.2	3.18	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↓ (4.53)	3.17 ↓ (3.42)	1.82 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Calepina
22.1%

Draw
28.5%

Lumezzane
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

26.2%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

29.1%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Calepina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lumezzane could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Calepina - Lumezzane Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Lumezzane is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Calepina
Italian Serie D - Group B
26.02.23	Caronnese - Real Calepina	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Real Calepina - Ponte San Pietro Isola	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Brusaporto - Real Calepina	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Real Calepina - Varese	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Villa Valle - Real Calepina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTWLT
- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie D - Group B
26.02.23	Lumezzane - Casatese	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Seregno - Lumezzane	0:5 ✺
12.02.23	Lumezzane - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Alcione - Lumezzane	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Lumezzane - Sona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLW

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