Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Lusitano GC		Mafra

	1	X	2
	2.50	2.85	2.65
	2.63	2.80	2.63
	2.78	2.95	2.74
	2.76	2.97	2.7	Watch
	2.75	2.90	2.70
	2.61	2.95	2.56
	2.60	2.80	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.43)	2.89 ↓ (2.98)	2.65 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitano GC
34.2%

Draw
31.5%

Mafra
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

31.2%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Lusitano GC - Mafra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Martins D. (G) 10. Aguas M. 11. Andrade Male S. A. 2. Baixinho M. 53. Carvalho E. 5. Diagne O. 13. Nogueira B. 25. Pinto J. 4. Santana C. (C) 23. Sequeira D. 20. Silva D.	33. Silva P. (G) 37. Ba A. 2. Camara M. 5. Cardoso G. 66. Ferreira J. 6. Maiga Y. 7. Matos R. 8. Neves L. 9. Niang M. 46. Sambu B. (C) 22. Xico
Substitutes
8. Baptista T. 7. Batalha R. 30. Davou S. 31. Lemes M. (G) 9. Lopes D. 37. Monteiro R. 19. Mota L. 21. Soares M. 17. Vicente G.	20. Deme Jr. 21. Fati E. 18. Goba Zakpa 11. Leandro Alves 1. Lemos F. (G) 90. Moreira R. 42. Ngom A. 13. Raposo C. 76. Teixeira L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Andrade Male S. A. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Neves L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Ba A. ↓, Leandro Alves ↑,
61', Ferreira J. ↓, Moreira R. ↑,
61', Silva D. ↓, Lopes D. ↑,
61', Aguas M. ↓, Baptista T. ↑,
66', Neves L. 🟨,
70', Matos R. ↓, Ngom A. ↑,
73', Andrade Male S. A. ↓, Davou S. ↑,
73', Sequeira D. ↓, Batalha R. ↑,
83', Diagne O. ↓, Mota L. ↑,
83', Neves L. ↓, Raposo C. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 1, Pinto J. ⚽,

Preview

Mafra's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lusitano GC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Lusitano GC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Mafra - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.43%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano GC
Portuguese Liga 3
16.08.26	Caldas - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Benfica B - Lusitano GC	1:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
02.05.26	Lusitano GC - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Amora - Lusitano GC	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Lusitano GC - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTLWW
- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 3
15.08.26	Atlético CP - Mafra	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Mafra - Sintrense	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Mafra - Alverca	1:0 ✺
15.07.26	Fredericia - Mafra	3:2 ✺
11.07.26	Esbjerg - Mafra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
30.11.25	Mafra - Lusitano GC	1:1
17.08.25	Lusitano GC - Mafra	4:1

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