Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 6

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday


	Lusitano GC		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	1.26	4.4	12
	1.25	4.5	13
	1.27	4.34	12.55
	1.24	4.55	13.7
	1.25	4.5	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.34)	4.46 ↑ (4.33)	12.85 ↑ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitano GC
72.5%

Draw
20.4%

Operário Ferroviario
7.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

20.9%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

20.1%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+4%)

Lusitano GC - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Lopes David D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 🟥,
90+7', 2 - 0, Santana C. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
29.09.24	Barreirense - Lusitano GC	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Lusitano GC - Académico de Viseu	2:1 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
15.09.24	Serpa - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Amora - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
18.08.24	Lusitano GC - Lagoa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WWTTW
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
03.10.24	Operário Ferroviario - Chapecoense	3:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
29.09.24	Operário Ferroviario - Serpa	0:4 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
28.09.24	Santos - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
24.09.24	Operário Ferroviario - Guarani	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Brito - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLWL

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