Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 28

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)

Referee: Vollkopf P. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Operário Ferroviario		Guarani

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.88	4.1	Watch
	2.1	2.75	3.9
	2.1	2.9	4
	2.16	2.88	4.33
	2.09	2.84	4.28	Watch
	2.05	2.9	4
	2.08	2.96	4.05
	2.1	2.9	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.2)	2.88 ↑ (2.8)	4.08 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
44.6%

Draw
32.5%

Guarani
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

33.3%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

32.5%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	62.5%	0%

Operário Ferroviario - Guarani Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 72. Thales Oleques 3. Allan Godoi 30. Joseph 6. Para 16. Boschilia 31. Ronald 5. Indio (C) 8. Vinicius Diniz 9. Vinicius Mingotti 7. Rodrigo Farofa	1. Pegorari (G) 28. Pacheco 12. Lucas Adell 13. Matheus Salustiano (C) 6. Emerson 19. Joao Victor 77. Marlon Maranhao 18. Matheus Bueno 47. Pierre 99. Caio Dantas 10. Luan Dias
Substitutes
14. Borech 99. Daniel Lima 17. Erik Bessa 11. Felipe Augusto 27. Gabriel Feliciano 55. Jacy 51. Lopes G. (G) 10. Marco Antonio 2. Ocampos S. 19. Rodrigo Lindoso 90. Ronaldo	5. Anderson Leite 31. Douglas Borges (G) 11. Estevao 33. Gabriel Bispo 2. Heitor 17. Jefferson 39. Lohan 14. Marcelinho 20. Reinaldo 15. Rene
Coaches
Rafael Guanaes	Aal A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Vinicius Mingotti ↓, Daniel Lima ↑,
38', Daniel Lima 🟨,
38', Pierre 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Para ↓, Gabriel Feliciano ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Boschilia (Pen),
64', Luan Dias 🟨,
67', Boschilia 🟨,
67', Pacheco ↓, Heitor ↑,
67', Marlon Maranhao ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
70', Matheus Salustiano 🟨,
71', 🟨,
72', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Rodrigo Lindoso ↑,
73', Boschilia ↓, Felipe Augusto ↑,
73', Indio ↓, Jacy ↑,
78', Joao Victor ↓, Reinaldo ↑,
78', Emerson ↓, Jefferson ↑,
78', Pierre ↓, Anderson Leite ↑,
90', Reinaldo 🟥,
90+1', Caio Dantas 🟨,
90+4', Matheus Bueno 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Guarani could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Operário PR have a series of guest games.

In this match Operário PR is a favorite.

There will not play in Operário PR: Dudu Scheit (Injury) Pedro Lucas (Injury)

There are questionable in Guarani: Bruno Mendes (Injury) Marcio Silva (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Operário PR won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Operário PR won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Brito - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.09.24	Amazonas - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Operário Ferroviario - Coritiba	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
15.09.24	Moura - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
08.09.24	Ceará - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWL
- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
17.09.24	Guarani - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Paysandu - Guarani	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	América Mineiro - Guarani	3:0 ✺
03.09.24	Guarani - Coritiba	2:1 ✺
21.08.24	Guarani - Santos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
08.06.24	Guarani - Operário Ferroviario	0:1
13.09.22	Operário Ferroviario - Guarani	0:1
06.06.22	Guarani - Operário Ferroviario	0:3
24.08.21	Guarani - Operário Ferroviario	3:0
01.06.21	Operário Ferroviario - Guarani	2:5

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