Match Info

Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 6

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports


	Operário Ferroviario		Chapecoense

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.42	3.05	3.22
	2.21	2.59	3.94
	2.25	2.88	3
	2.34	2.99	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.07)	2.88 ↓ (3.3)	3.32 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
40.1%

Draw
32.1%

Chapecoense
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

28.3%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

27.9%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Operário Ferroviario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Operário Ferroviario - Chapecoense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Elias Curzel (G) 32. Charles Raphael 28. Dudu Mosconi 80. Favero 7. Felipe Augusto 27. Gabriel Feliciano 26. Maguinho 88. Neto Paraiba 30. Pedro Vilhena 18. Pool J. 29. Torres E.	1. Rafael Santos (G) 8. David Antunes 4. Eduardo Doma 2. Kaue 6. Mancha 3. Marcos Vinicius 9. Neto Pessoa 7. Ramirez K. 10. Rubens Ricoldi 5. Vinicius Balieiro 11. Wermeson
Substitutes
25. Bernardo Rodrigues 31. Bruno Iago 41. Diego Monteiro (G) 21. Gabriel Cardozo 15. Henrique 36. Jhow Torres 23. Joao Gabriel 19. Kaua Gomes 35. Kayo Fernandes 17. Matheus Galdino 37. Miguel Tavora 34. Renan Gustavo	20. Alberto 16. Da Silva 14. Felipe L. 22. Gleidson 17. Godoy K. 15. Higor Meritao 21. Joao Bom 18. Marcio 19. Miguel 23. Rodrigo 12. Wellington (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Kaue 🟨,
28', David Antunes 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Neto Paraiba ⚽,
41', Neto Paraiba 🟨,
42', Wermeson 🟨,
43', Felipe Augusto 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Mancha ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Torres E. ↓, Matheus Galdino ↑,
56', Ramirez K. 🟨,
59', Ramirez K. ↓, Joao Bom ↑,
75', Favero 🟥,
83', Dudu Mosconi ↓, Henrique ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Vinicius Balieiro ⚽,
90+1', Rubens Ricoldi ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
90+1', Neto Pessoa ↓, Miguel ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 2.

Operário PR has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chapecoense has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Operário PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Operário PR might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Operário PR won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Operário Ferroviario - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.11%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Chapecoense - the odds 3.51 are the expected chance of winning is 26.6%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
03.05.26	Operário Ferroviario - Londrina	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.04.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.04.26	Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTTL
- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie A
03.05.26	Chapecoense - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.04.26	Chapecoense - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.04.26	Fluminense - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
18.04.26	Chapecoense - Botafogo RJ	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
27.10.25	Chapecoense - Operário Ferroviario	2:0
07.07.25	Operário Ferroviario - Chapecoense	1:2
03.10.24	Operário Ferroviario - Chapecoense	3:2
17.06.24	Chapecoense - Operário Ferroviario	0:1
08.10.22	Chapecoense - Operário Ferroviario	1:1
27.06.22	Operário Ferroviario - Chapecoense	2:1
25.01.21	Operário Ferroviario - Chapecoense	2:0

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