Match Info
Date: 3 April 2021, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Lusitano de Vildemoinhos |
|
Castro Daire |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.3 |
3.25 |
2.05 |
|
 |
3.45 |
3 |
2.02 |
|
 |
3.72 |
3.19 |
2.13 |
|
 |
3.34 |
3.26 |
2.08 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.45 ↑
(3.34) |
3.18 ↓
(3.3) |
2.07 ↑
(2.03) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lusitano de Vildemoinhos
26.6% | Draw
29% | Castro Daire
44.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lusitano de Vildemoinhos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Castro Daire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitano de Vildemoinhos than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lusitano de Vildemoinhos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro Daire than the current prediction. (+13.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castro Daire could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
Both teams are now playing unstable. Castro Daire could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. Castro Daire will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Lusitano de Vildemoinhos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4. Including matches at home between the teams Lusitano de Vildemoinhos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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