Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 9

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Lusitânia		Leça

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.3	3.8
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.8	3.35	3.9
	1.83	3.31	4.47
	1.78	3.42	4.1
	1.82	3.45	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.86)	3.32 ↑ (3.19)	4.05 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
50.3%

Draw
27.3%

Leça
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

28.3%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

27.2%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Leça has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Lusitânia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Leça is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Lusitânia is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lusitânia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Lusitânia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitânia FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.11.22	Castro Daire - Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Lusitânia - Beira-Mar	2:2 ✺
06.11.22	Marítimo B - Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Lusitânia - Guarda Desportiva	4:1 ✺
23.10.22	Lusitânia - Resende	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTTWT
- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.11.22	Leça - Gondomar	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Salgueiros 08 - Leça	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Leça - Rebordosa	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Alpendorada - Leça	2:1 ✺
23.10.22	Leça - Valadares Gaia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
12.09.21	Leça - Lusitânia	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.03.20	Leça - Lusitânia	0:2
20.01.19	Leça - Lusitânia	0:2
12.08.18	Lusitânia - Leça	3:0

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