Match Info

Matogrossense - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Sport Sinop		Luverdense

	1	X	2
	3.55	2.82	2.1
	4.75	2.11	2.37
	4.18	2.61	2.15	Watch
	3.8	2.7	2.1
	3.94	2.8	2.18
	3.66	2.85	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.5)	2.65 ↓ (3)	2.17 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Sinop
23%

Draw
34.6%

Luverdense
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

30.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

31.5%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Sinop has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Luverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Sinop than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Sport Sinop - Luverdense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Henan ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg.

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Sport Sinop is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Luverdense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Luverdense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Luverdense could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sport Sinop won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sport Sinop won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Sport Sinop
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
12.02.26	Sport Sinop - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Sport Sinop - Chapada	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Mixto - Sport Sinop	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Várzea Grande - Sport Sinop	1:2 ✺
28.01.26	Sport Sinop - Luverdense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.2 WWTWL
- Luverdense EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
08.02.26	União Rondonópolis - Luverdense	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Luverdense - Operário Ltda	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Luverdense - Chapada	1:0 ✺
28.01.26	Sport Sinop - Luverdense	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Luverdense - Mixto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
28.01.26	Sport Sinop - Luverdense	0:1
15.01.25	Sport Sinop - Luverdense	1:2
04.02.23	Sport Sinop - Luverdense	0:1
23.01.22	Luverdense - Sport Sinop	2:0

Sport Sinop - Luverdense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide