Match Info

Matogrossense - Round 8

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Passo das Emas (Lucas do Rio Verde)


	Luverdense		Operário Ltda

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.88	3.65
	1.98	2.83	4.01
	2.01	2.92	4.04
	2.05	2.7	3.8
	2.08	3.39	3.41
	2	2.85	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.05)	2.93 ↓ (3.04)	3.82 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luverdense
45%

Draw
31.1%

Operário Ltda
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

30%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

29.8%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Operário Ltda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ltda than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Luverdense - Operário Ltda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Mateus Lima ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luverdense won 1.

Luverdense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Operário Ltda has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Operário Ltda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Luverdense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Luverdense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Luverdense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luverdense EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
31.01.26	Luverdense - Chapada	1:0 ✺
28.01.26	Sport Sinop - Luverdense	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Luverdense - Mixto	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Nova Mutum - Luverdense	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Várzea Grande - Luverdense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLTW
- Operário FC Ltda
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
31.01.26	União Rondonópolis - Operário Ltda	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Operário Ltda - Mixto	1:4 ✺
25.01.26	Operário Ltda - Nova Mutum	3:1 ✺
21.01.26	Operário Ltda - Chapada	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Sport Sinop - Operário Ltda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
16.02.25	Luverdense - Operário Ltda	0:1
20.01.24	Luverdense - Operário Ltda	2:0
11.02.23	Luverdense - Operário Ltda	0:2
09.02.22	Luverdense - Operário Ltda	0:0
21.03.21	Operário Ltda - Luverdense	2:0
07.03.19	Luverdense - Operário Ltda	0:0

Luverdense - Operário Ltda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide