Match Info

Serie D - Round 6

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Passo das Emas (Lucas do Rio Verde)


	Luverdense		Porto Velho

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.4
	1.64	3.5	4.8
	1.6	3.48	5.45
	1.6	3.61	5.4	Watch
	1.66	3.53	5.45
	1.64	3.5	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.74)	3.52 ↓ (3.9)	5.05 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luverdense
56%

Draw
25.9%

Porto Velho
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

23.1%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

22.4%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Porto Velho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Porto Velho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto Velho than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto Velho could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Luverdense - Porto Velho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 1 - 0, Felipinho ⚽,
75', 🟥,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6).

Luverdense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Porto Velho's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Porto Velho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Porto Velho has had a series of away games.

In this match, Luverdense is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luverdense EC
Brazilian Serie D
18.05.25	Capital CF Ltda - Luverdense	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Luverdense - Ceilândia	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	Mixto - Luverdense	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Luverdense - Goianésia	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Goiânia - Luverdense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTWWW
- Porto Velho EC
Brazilian Serie D
18.05.25	Goianésia - Porto Velho	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Goiânia - Porto Velho	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Porto Velho - Capital CF Ltda	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Mixto - Porto Velho	4:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Rondoniense
02.04.25	Ji-Paraná - Porto Velho	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLT

Luverdense - Porto Velho: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide