Match Info

Matogrossense - Play Offs - Final

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Eurico Gaspar Dutra (Dutrinha) (Cuiabá)


	Mixto		Luverdense

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.92	3.55
	1.94	3.07	4.04	Watch
	1.91	2.88	4.2
	1.91	3.1	4.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2)	2.99 ↓ (3.11)	4.07 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mixto
46.9%

Draw
30.6%

Luverdense
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

29.2%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

29.1%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mixto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Luverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mixto than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Mixto - Luverdense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg.

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mixto won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mixto could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mixto won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mixto won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mixto-MT
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Mixto - Botafogo PB	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
21.02.26	Mixto - Operário Ltda	2:1 penalties ✺
14.02.26	Operário Ltda - Mixto	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Nova Mutum - Mixto	2:1 ✺
05.02.26	Mixto - Sport Sinop	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWTLT
- Luverdense EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
22.02.26	Luverdense - Sport Sinop	2:2 penalties ✺
15.02.26	Sport Sinop - Luverdense	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	União Rondonópolis - Luverdense	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Luverdense - Operário Ltda	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Luverdense - Chapada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
21.01.26	Luverdense - Mixto	0:2
Brazilian Serie D
12.07.25	Luverdense - Mixto	0:0
03.05.25	Mixto - Luverdense	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
01.02.25	Mixto - Luverdense	4:1
05.04.24	Luverdense - Mixto	1:1
30.03.24	Mixto - Luverdense	0:1
25.01.24	Mixto - Luverdense	1:1

Mixto - Luverdense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide