Match Info

UEFA Nations League - League C - Round 2

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stade de Luxembourg (Luxembourg)

Referee: Jorgji E. (Alb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Supersport Action
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+, Globoplay, SporTV 3
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Croatia	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 11
Denmark	TV2 Play
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	SÝN Sport, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Vision+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Luxembourg	RTL 2, RTL 2
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Action
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	Okko Sport
South-africa	SuperSport Action
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+


	Luxembourg		Iceland

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	2.2
	3.10	3.10	2.25
	3.25	3.1	2.22
	3.37	3.35	2.29
	3.25	3.29	2.27	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.25
	3.36	3.42	2.27	Watch
	3.15	3.2	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.8)	3.25 ↓ (3.4)	2.25 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luxembourg
29.1%

Draw
29%

Iceland
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

28%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luxembourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Iceland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.1%	36.8%	21.1%

Luxembourg - Iceland Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Luxembourg will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Iceland will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luxembourg: 19.9% – 64.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Luxembourg (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moris A. (G) Al Khaleej 18. Jans L. (C) SK Beveren 3. Mahmutovic E. Dinamo Batumi 13. Carlson D. Dinamo Batumi 4. Bohnert F. Hansa Rostock 19. Olesen M. Sonderjyske 11. Thill V. Mannheim 6. de Sousa T. Bodrumspor 16. Barreiro L. Benfica 17. Kadamani H. Metz 7. Dardari A. RW Essen	12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G) Brentford 4. Palsson V. Horsens 16. Thordarson S. T. Hannover 3. Gretarsson D. L. Aarhus 2. Tomasson L. Samsunspor 19. Ellertsson M. E. Genoa 8. Johannesson I. 1. FC Koln 10. Sigurdsson G. Vikingur Reykjavik 7. Haraldsson H. Lille 22. Gudjohnsen A. Blackburn 9. Oskarsson O. (C) Real Sociedad
Substitutes
8. Duarte E. 2. Dzogovic E. Magdeburg 20. Goncalves M. Dusseldorf 23. Kips T. (G) Phonix Lubeck 22. Martins M. FK Liepaja 15. Natami O. UNA Strassen 12. Pereira Cardoso T. (G) RAAL La Louviere 10. Rupil T. Helsingborg 5. Selimovic V. Iberia 1999 21. Thill S. Differdange 14. Veiga E. Bissen 9. Videira J. Mainz	18. Anderson M. Aarhus 6. Baldursson A. Kasimpasa 13. Einarsson A. (G) Breidablik 17. Gunnarsson A. Qatar SC 20. Helgason T. J. Venezia 15. Ingason K. M. Brann 23. Magnusson H. Atromitos 1. Runarsson R. A. (G) FC Copenhagen 21. Sigurdsson A. Kalamata 11. Thorsteinsson J. Hertha Berlin 5. Thorvaldsson I. Lyngby 14. Willumsson B. Groningen
Coaches
Strasser J.	Gunnlaugsson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Gudjohnsen A. ⚽, Oskarsson O. (A),
15', Jans L. ↓, Martins M. ↑,
35', Valdimarsson H. R. 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Oskarsson O. ⚽, Gudjohnsen A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Johannesson I. 🟨,
62', Thill V. ↓, Videira J. ↑,
62', Olesen M. ↓, Duarte E. ↑,
67', Thordarson S. T. ↓, Magnusson H. ↑,
72', Barreiro L. 🟨,
73', 0 - 3, Palsson V. ⚽, Sigurdsson G. (A),
74', Oskarsson O. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
75', Gudjohnsen A. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
75', Haraldsson H. ↓, Thorvaldsson I. ↑,
76', Kadamani H. ↓, Natami O. ↑,
76', de Sousa T. ↓, Rupil T. ↑,
78', Ellertsson M. E. 🟨,
85', Palsson V. ↓, Sigurdsson A. ↑,
90', Mahmutovic E. 🟨,
90+1', Thorvaldsson I. 🟨,

Preview

Luxembourg is ranked FIFA: 98., and Iceland is ranked FIFA: 74..

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Iceland holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Luxembourg has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luxembourg
UEFA Nations League
26.09.26	Bulgaria - Luxembourg	1:2 ✺
Friendly
06.06.26	Albania - Luxembourg	0:1 ✺
03.06.26	Luxembourg - Italy	0:1 ✺
UEFA Nations League
31.03.26	Luxembourg - Malta	3:0 ✺
26.03.26	Malta - Luxembourg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 WWLWW
- Iceland
UEFA Nations League
26.09.26	Iceland - Estonia	1:1 ✺
Friendly
09.06.26	Argentina - Iceland	3:0 ✺
31.05.26	Japan - Iceland	1:0 ✺
31.03.26	Haiti - Iceland	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Canada - Iceland	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro
13.10.23	Iceland - Luxembourg	1:1
08.09.23	Luxembourg - Iceland	3:1

Luxembourg - Iceland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide