Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 3 June 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de Luxembourg (Luxembourg) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	15:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network, OneSoccer
Chile	14:45	Disney+
Colombia	13:45	Disney+
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	20:45	Oneplay, Sport 2
Germany	20:45	DAZN 2
Greece	21:45	Nova Sports Prime
Mexico	12:45	Sky Sport
Mongolia	02:45	Premier Sports 1
Norway	20:45	Viaplay
Peru	13:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV3
Romania	21:45	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+


	Luxembourg		Italy

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.9	1.5
	4.5	4.8	1.55
	6.9	4.45	1.43
	7.09	5.17	1.41
	47.53	9.45	1.07	Watch
	6.5	4.2	1.4
	7.5	4.7	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.25 ↑ (7.32)	5.24 ↓ (5.57)	1.41 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luxembourg
8.3%

Draw
19.4%

Italy
72.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.1%

17.2%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luxembourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.9%	2.1%	48.9%

Luxembourg - Italy Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Luxembourg will win (votes: 23 - 50%). Italy will win (votes: 23 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luxembourg: 35.6% – 64.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Luxembourg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moris A. (G) Al Khaleej 18. Jans L. (C) SK Beveren 2. Korac S. Venezia 13. Carlson D. St. Polten 17. Mica Pinto Dordrecht 15. Thill V. Mannheim 8. Martins C. Spartak Moscow 19. Olesen M. Grazer AK 6. de Sousa T. Benfica 7. Bohnert F. Bastia 10. Sinani D. St. Pauli	1. Donnarumma G. (C) Manchester City 22. Favasuli C. Catanzaro 15. Comuzzo P. Fiorentina 4. Chiarodia F. C. B. Monchengladbach 3. Bartesaghi D. AC Milan 21. Pisilli N. AS Roma 5. Lipani L. Sassuolo 10. Ndour C. Fiorentina 7. Cherubini L. Sampdoria 9. Esposito F. Inter 11. Koleosho L. Paris FC
Substitutes
9. Curci A. Neftci Baku 4. Duarte D. RFC Seraing 22. Duarte E. 23. Fox L. (G) Bocholt 16. Goncalves M. FC 08 Homburg 20. Kadamani H. 3. Mahmutovic E. NAC Breda 11. Muratovic E. FK Panevezys 12. Pereira Cardoso T. (G) B. Monchengladbach 5. Selimovic V. Iberia 1999 21. Thill S. S. Rzeszow 14. Veiga E. Flamurtari	24. Ahanor H. Atalanta 14. Berti T. Cesena 8. Camarda F. Lecce 12. Daffara G. (G) Avellino 20. Dagasso M. Venezia 18. Ekhator J. Genoa 16. Faticanti G. Juventus 17. Fini S. Frosinone 25. Fortini N. Fiorentina 19. Inacio S. Dortmund 6. Mane F. Dortmund 2. Palestra M. Cagliari 23. Palmisani L. (G) Frosinone 13. Reggiani L. Dortmund
Coaches
Strasser J.	Baldini S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Esposito F. ⚽, Pisilli N. (A),
51', Lipani L. 🟨,
66', Bohnert F. ↓, Kadamani H. ↑,
67', Mica Pinto ↓, Mahmutovic E. ↑,
67', Favasuli C. ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
67', Cherubini L. ↓, Fini S. ↑,
76', Lipani L. ↓, Dagasso M. ↑,
76', Comuzzo P. ↓, Mane F. ↑,
76', Esposito F. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
77', Thill V. ↓, Thill S. ↑,
86', de Sousa T. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
86', Sinani D. ↓, Curci A. ↑,
86', Olesen M. ↓, Goncalves M. ↑,
90', Bartesaghi D. ↓, Ahanor H. ↑,
90', Koleosho L. ↓, Inacio S. ↑,
90+3', Carlson D. 🟨,

Preview

Luxembourg is ranked FIFA: 98. Italy is ranked FIFA: 12.

In this match, Italy is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Luxembourg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luxembourg
UEFA Nations League
31.03.26	Luxembourg - Malta	3:0 ✺
26.03.26	Malta - Luxembourg	0:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
17.11.25	Northern Ireland - Luxembourg	1:0 ✺
14.11.25	Luxembourg - Germany	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Slovakia - Luxembourg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLL
- Italy
FIFA World Cup
31.03.26	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Italy	2:1 penalties ✺
26.03.26	Italy - Northern Ireland	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Italy - Norway	1:4 ✺
13.11.25	Moldova - Italy	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Italy - Israel	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
04.06.14	Italy - Luxembourg	1:1
29.05.12	Italy - Luxembourg	N/A

Luxembourg - Italy