Match Info

UEFA Nations League - League C/D - Relegation - Final

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
Luxembourg	RTL 2, RTL 2
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 4
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+


	Malta		Luxembourg

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.88	2.25
	3.55	2.88	2.22
	3.77	2.97	2.31
	4.04	2.44	2.46	Watch
	3.75	2.8	2.2
	3.98	3.01	2.32	Watch
	3.25	3.3	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.25)	2.9 ↓ (3.3)	2.27 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malta
25.6%

Draw
32.7%

Luxembourg
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

28.2%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Luxembourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	26.3%	57.9%

Malta - Luxembourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Malta will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Luxembourg will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luxembourg: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Luxembourg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonello H. (G) Hamrun 22. Muscat Z. Chaves 5. Shaw K. Hibernians 13. Pepe E. Marsaxlokk 3. Camenzuli R. Hamrun 6. Guillaumier M. (C) Hamrun 23. Satariano A. Athens Kallithea 8. Mbong P. Floriana 10. Teuma T. St. Liege 20. Chouaref Y. Sion 11. Cardona I. St Etienne	1. Moris A. (G) Al Khaleej 18. Jans L. (C) SK Beveren 2. Korac S. Venezia 13. Carlson D. St. Polten 4. Bohnert F. Bastia 19. Olesen M. Grazer AK 15. Thill V. Mannheim 8. Martins C. Spartak Moscow 16. Barreiro L. Benfica 9. Dardari A. Greuther Furth 10. Sinani D. St. Pauli
Substitutes
16. Al Tumi R. (G) Sliema 15. Beerman M. Floriana 2. Borg J. Sliema 19. Buhagiar T. Tampines 21. Corbalan J. C. Marsaxlokk 12. Debono M. (G) Naxxar Lions 9. Grech J. Floriana 4. Mentz G. Gzira 18. Overend A. Sliema 7. Paiber B. Valletta 14. Yankam Y. Valletta 17. Zammit A. Valletta	7. Borges Sanches Y. Heracles 6. de Sousa T. Benfica 5. Duarte E. 20. Dzogovic E. Magdeburg 23. Fox L. (G) Bocholt 3. Mahmutovic E. NAC Breda 17. Mica Pinto Dordrecht 11. Muratovic E. FK Panevezys 12. Pereira Cardoso T. (G) B. Monchengladbach 21. Thill S. S. Rzeszow 14. Veiga E. Flamurtari 22. Videira J. Mainz
Coaches
De Leo E.	Strasser J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Teuma T. ↓, Grech J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Thill V. ⚽, Bohnert F. (A),
60', Satariano A. 🟨,
68', Thill V. ↓, Thill S. ↑,
69', Dardari A. ↓, Videira J. ↑,
69', Moris A. ↓, Pereira Cardoso T. ↑,
78', Muscat Z. ↓, Corbalan J. C. ↑,
78', Satariano A. ↓, Buhagiar T. ↑,
87', Mbong P. ↓, Paiber B. ↑,
87', Guillaumier M. ↓, Zammit A. ↑,
88', Martins C. ↓, de Sousa T. ↑,
89', Pepe E. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 2, Olesen M. ⚽,
90+6', Sinani D. ↓, Duarte E. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Luxembourg could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Malta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malta
FIFA World Cup
17.11.25	Malta - Poland	2:3 ✺
14.11.25	Finland - Malta	0:1 ✺
Friendly
12.10.25	Malta - Bosnia and Herzegovina	1:4 ✺
FIFA World Cup
09.10.25	Malta - Netherlands	0:4 ✺
Friendly
09.09.25	Malta - San Marino	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.2 LWLLW
- Luxembourg
FIFA World Cup
17.11.25	Northern Ireland - Luxembourg	1:0 ✺
14.11.25	Luxembourg - Germany	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Slovakia - Luxembourg	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Germany - Luxembourg	4:0 ✺
07.09.25	Luxembourg - Slovakia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
09.06.23	Luxembourg - Malta	0:1
22.03.18	Malta - Luxembourg	0:1
02.06.12	Luxembourg - Malta	0:2

Malta - Luxembourg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide