Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Chornomorets (Odesa) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kovalenko A. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Ukraine	13:00	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
International	10:00	OneFootball TV


	Chornomorets Odesa		Kharkiv

	1	X	2
	8.25	5.00	1.34
	8	4.7	1.32
	11.03	5	1.36
	7.8	4.68	1.42	Watch
	10	4.35	1.32
	8.12	5.14	1.33	Watch
	8	4.8	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.74 ↑ (7.1)	4.81 ↑ (4.5)	1.34 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chornomorets Odesa
10.7%

Draw
19.5%

Kharkiv
69.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.4%

21.1%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2%

20.7%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chornomorets Odesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Chornomorets Odesa - Kharkiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Aniagboso C. (G) 21. Klymenko V. (C) 24. Jarju M. 74. Faryna M. 27. Pushkaryov O. 30. Jobe M. 18. Robakidze G. 11. Popov K. 13. Faraseyenko V. 7. Alefirenko D. 70. Yoka J. D.	1. Yermakov G. (G) 27. Krupskyi I. 13. Salyuk V. 31. Shabanov A. 29. Smolyakov A. 14. Gadzhyev R. 5. Kalyuzhnyi I. (C) 18. Pavlyuk Y. 7. Zabergja B. 10. Paraco C. 98. Itodo P.
Substitutes
10. Avagimyan A. 16. Bayda N. (G) 77. Gerych V. 23. Gusev O. 9. Khoma A. 8. Klyots D. 35. Koval M. (G) 4. Kratov M. 60. Melnychenko M. 20. Stepovyi N. 52. Yarmola S.	9. Antyukh D. 16. Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 70. Bagriy I. 11. Castillo S. 37. Dubko V. 25. Kogut I. 24. Martynyuk O. 23. Protsenko Y. (G) 19. Rashica E. 30. Varakuta D. (G) 8. Yatsyk O.
Coaches
Grygorchuk R.	Bartulovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Yoka J. D. 🟥,
24', 0 - 1, Paraco C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Gadzhyev R. 🟨,
57', 0 - 2, Zabergja B. ⚽, Kalyuzhnyi I. (A),
60', 1 - 2, Popov K. ⚽, Jobe M. (A),
63', Zabergja B. ↓, Yatsyk O. ↑,
76', Alefirenko D. ↓, Gerych V. ↑,
76', Klymenko V. ↓, Gusev O. ↑,
84', Paraco C. ↓, Castillo S. ↑,
84', Itodo P. ↓, Rashica E. ↑,
85', Jobe M. ↓, Khoma A. ↑,
90', Yatsyk O. 🟨,
90+2', Gadzhyev R. ↓, Antyukh D. ↑,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 12th and 5th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chornomorets won 2.

Chornomorets has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Kharkiv is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

The betting markets point to Kharkiv as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Chornomorets has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:7 (averaging 1.2:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chornomorets against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:2 goals (averaging 1.6:0.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	FC Kharkiv	9	7	0	2	18:7	11	21
14	Ch. Odesa	9	1	3	5	5:11	-6	6

Outrights of Ukrainian Premier League for now

FC Kharkiv: 9.28% Ch. Odesa: 0.74%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Premier League
18.09.26	Chornomorets Odesa - Obolon	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Chornomorets Odesa	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Chornomorets Odesa - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Chornomorets Odesa - Kryvbas	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
23.08.26	Vilkhivtsi - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLTWL
- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
19.09.26	Kharkiv - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
16.09.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Kharkiv	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
05.09.26	Kharkiv - Obolon	5:0 ✺
31.08.26	Zorya Luhansk - Kharkiv	0:3 ✺
16.08.26	Kharkiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
12.05.24	Chornomorets Odesa - Kharkiv	3:0
05.11.23	Kharkiv - Chornomorets Odesa	2:1
11.03.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Kharkiv	1:1
27.08.22	Kharkiv - Chornomorets Odesa	0:0
12.12.21	Chornomorets Odesa - Kharkiv	2:1
06.08.21	Kharkiv - Chornomorets Odesa	3:2
Ukrainian Persha Liga
27.05.21	Kharkiv - Chornomorets Odesa	0:1

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