Match Info

1st Division - Round 11

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Lyngby Stadion (Kongens Lyngby)

Referee: Kobberrod J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Lyngby BK		Aalborg BK

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.2
	2.12	3.55	3.15
	2.13	3.68	3.33
	2.28	3.43	2.94	Watch
	2.11	3.65	3.19	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.05)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyngby BK
44.1%

Draw
26.4%

Aalborg BK
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

26.4%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

26.1%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyngby BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Aalborg BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyngby BK than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Lyngby BK - Aalborg BK Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Aalborg (1.66) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aalborg (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aegidius J. (G) 2. Buur O. 24. Storm T. 4. Racic L. 25. Mortensen G. 19. Fraulo G. 22. Langhoff P. 14. Sandgrav L. 7. Colyn S. 26. Gytkjaer F. (C) 18. Cornelius J.	1. Muller V. (G) 3. Andersson A. 33. Makolli E. 4. Tiedemann B. 24. Arnorsson N. 21. Bomholt M. (C) 8. Hapnes A. 23. Kaasa M. 27. John K. 9. Helenius N. 11. Hansen K.
Substitutes
6. Blume B. 13. Dani 20. Kaarsbo M. 31. Mayland A. (G) 16. Meyer J. 17. Steindorsson W. 10. Thorvaldsson I. 3. Warmerdam D. 11. Warming M.	26. Bonde M. 25. Borsting F. 40. Gronkjaer B. (G) 17. Jasson A. 18. Maarup A. 28. Moller V. 5. Nielsen M. 15. Olsson C. 10. Ross O.
Coaches
Brimsvik D.	Hojer S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Fraulo G. ⚽, Langhoff P. (A),
35', 2 - 0, Gytkjaer F. ⚽, Mortensen G. (A),
43', Fraulo G. 🟨,
45+3', Racic L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hapnes A. ↓, Jasson A. ↑,
46', Hansen K. ↓, Moller V. ↑,
46', Helenius N. ↓, Ross O. ↑,
46', 2 - 1, John K. ⚽,
57', Tiedemann B. 🟨,
57', Gytkjaer F. 🟨,
69', Gytkjaer F. ↓, Thorvaldsson I. ↑,
69', Colyn S. ↓, Dani ↑,
70', Kaasa M. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
70', Makolli E. 🟨,
79', Cornelius J. ↓, Steindorsson W. ↑,
87', Arnorsson N. ↓, Maarup A. ↑,
90+1', Fraulo G. ↓, Blume B. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyngby won 2.

Lyngby is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aalborg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lyngby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Aalborg has had a series of home games.

Lyngby might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyngby won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:34. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lyngby won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lyngby BK
Danish Landspokal Cup
24.09.25	Lyngby BK - Copenhagen	0:2 ✺
Danish 1 Division
21.09.25	Lyngby BK - HB Køge	4:0 ✺
11.09.25	Hobro - Lyngby BK	1:4 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
02.09.25	Ledøje-Smørum - Lyngby BK	1:2 penalties ✺
Danish 1 Division
30.08.25	Middelfart - Lyngby BK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWWT
- Aalborg BK
Danish 1 Division
21.09.25	Aalborg BK - B.93 Copenhagen	3:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
17.09.25	Aalborg BK - Midtjylland	0:3 ✺
Danish 1 Division
14.09.25	Aalborg BK - Middelfart	4:0 ✺
29.08.25	Aarhus Fremad - Aalborg BK	5:1 ✺
22.08.25	Aalborg BK - Hvidovre	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
24.05.25	Lyngby BK - Aalborg BK	3:1
11.04.25	Aalborg BK - Lyngby BK	2:2
10.11.24	Lyngby BK - Aalborg BK	2:2
13.09.24	Aalborg BK - Lyngby BK	2:1
29.05.23	Lyngby BK - Aalborg BK	2:1
30.04.23	Aalborg BK - Lyngby BK	1:0
14.10.22	Lyngby BK - Aalborg BK	0:2

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