Match Info

Landspokal Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Aalborg Portland Park (Aalborg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Aalborg BK		Midtjylland

	1	X	2
	5.25	5.25	1.35	Watch
	5.85	5.25	1.4	Watch
	5.76	4.88	1.41
	5.92	4.73	1.44	Watch
	5.49	5.49	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.65 ↓ (6.73)	5.12 ↓ (5.22)	1.4 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalborg BK
16.3%

Draw
18%

Midtjylland
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

17.5%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

16.9%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalborg BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Midtjylland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Aalborg BK - Midtjylland Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muller V. (G) 2. Kallesoe M. 33. Makolli E. 4. Tiedemann B. 3. Andersson A. 21. Bomholt M. 8. Hapnes A. 28. Moller V. 9. Helenius N. 27. John K. 10. Ross O.	1. Lossl J. (G) 13. Gabriel A. 4. Diao O. 22. Bech Sorensen M. 3. Lee Han-Beom 19. Bravo P. 29. Paulinho 20. Byskov V. 8. Billing P. 74. Junior Brumado 7. Franculino
Substitutes
24. Arnorsson N. 25. Borsting F. 40. Gronkjaer B. (G) 11. Hansen K. 17. Jasson A. 23. Kaasa M. 5. Nielsen M. 13. Olsson C. 39. Skovgaard B.	55. Bak V. 21. Castillo D. 14. Chilufya E. 10. Cho Gue-Sung 80. Dani Silva 6. Erlic M. 43. Mbabu K. 16. Olafsson E. (G) 58. Simsir A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Ross O. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
45+3', Kallesoe M. 🟨,
45+3', Billing P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Bomholt M. ↓, Jasson A. ↑,
46', John K. 🟨,
50', 0 - 1, Junior Brumado ⚽,
58', Paulinho ↓, Bak V. ↑,
58', Franculino ↓, Cho Gue-Sung ↑,
59', Helenius N. ↓, Kaasa M. ↑,
59', Andersson A. ↓, Arnorsson N. ↑,
63', 0 - 2, Byskov V. ⚽,
68', Billing P. ↓, Dani Silva ↑,
68', Junior Brumado ↓, Chilufya E. ↑,
76', Moller V. ↓, Borsting F. ↑,
79', 0 - 3, Cho Gue-Sung ⚽,
86', 🟨,
90', Bravo P. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 2.

Aalborg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Midtjylland is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Midtjylland is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:30. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Aalborg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 2:17. (average 0.2:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalborg BK
Danish 1 Division
14.09.25	Aalborg BK - Middelfart	4:0 ✺
29.08.25	Aarhus Fremad - Aalborg BK	5:1 ✺
22.08.25	Aalborg BK - Hvidovre	4:0 ✺
19.08.25	Esbjerg - Aalborg BK	1:0 ✺
15.08.25	Aalborg BK - Horsens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLL
- FC Midtjylland
Danish Superliga
14.09.25	Nordsjælland - Midtjylland	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Brøndby - Midtjylland	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.08.25	KuPS Kuopio - Midtjylland	0:2 ✺
Danish Superliga
24.08.25	Midtjylland - Silkeborg IF	4:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
21.08.25	Midtjylland - KuPS Kuopio	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
09.03.25	Aalborg BK - Midtjylland	1:4
03.08.24	Midtjylland - Aalborg BK	2:0
Club Friendly
19.01.24	Midtjylland - Aalborg BK	1:4
07.07.23	Midtjylland - Aalborg BK	1:2
Danish Superliga
21.05.23	Aalborg BK - Midtjylland	0:2
14.04.23	Midtjylland - Aalborg BK	1:1
06.03.23	Aalborg BK - Midtjylland	0:0

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