Match Info

1st Division - Round 10

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Lyngby Stadion (Kongens Lyngby)

Referee: Andersen N. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Lyngby BK		HB Køge

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.53	4.45	5.35
	1.52	4.51	5.74
	1.53	4.31	5.48	Watch
	1.46	4.55	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.37)	4.43 ↓ (4.95)	5.54 ↓ (8.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyngby BK
62.1%

Draw
21.1%

HB Køge
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

19.1%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

18.2%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyngby BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lyngby BK's form might have worsened.

HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HB Køge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyngby BK than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lyngby BK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HB Køge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lyngby BK - HB Køge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyngby (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Lyngby (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyngby (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aegidius J. (G) 2. Buur O. 24. Storm T. 4. Racic L. 25. Mortensen G. 19. Fraulo G. 13. Dani 22. Langhoff P. 7. Colyn S. 26. Gytkjaer F. (C) 18. Cornelius J.	1. Bayrak B. (G) 14. Sorensen V. 23. Westergren M. 2. Bust L. 16. Hald S. 7. Jensen M. (C) 24. Rasmussen M. 6. Brodersen R. 17. Alkhoudari B. 11. Mudi 10. Jensen Tue C.
Substitutes
6. Blume B. 20. Kaarsbo M. 31. Mayland A. (G) 16. Meyer J. 14. Sandgrav L. 17. Steindorsson W. 10. Thorvaldsson I. 3. Warmerdam D. 11. Warming M.	5. Culhaci G. 27. Dorgu I. 25. Faloni V. 20. Gothler A. 22. Jakobsen M. 21. Jakobsen N. 26. Schmidt L. 12. Talyspayev D. (G) 30. Villumsen E.
Coaches
Brimsvik D.	Pedersen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Gytkjaer F. ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, Colyn S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Rasmussen M. ↓, Jakobsen N. ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Cornelius J. ⚽, Storm T. (A),
58', 4 - 0, Dani ⚽, Mortensen G. (A),
62', Cornelius J. ↓, Thorvaldsson I. ↑,
62', Langhoff P. ↓, Sandgrav L. ↑,
73', Alkhoudari B. ↓, Gothler A. ↑,
74', Gytkjaer F. ↓, Blume B. ↑,
74', Buur O. ↓, Steindorsson W. ↑,
81', Jensen Tue C. ↓, Schmidt L. ↑,
81', Fraulo G. ↓, Kaarsbo M. ↑,
89', Mudi ↓, Villumsen E. ↑,
89', Hald S. ↓, Dorgu I. ↑,
90+5', Kaarsbo M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyngby won 3.

In recent matches, Lyngby has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Køge has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Lyngby is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyngby won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:27. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lyngby won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lyngby BK
Danish 1 Division
11.09.25	Hobro - Lyngby BK	1:4 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
02.09.25	Ledøje-Smørum - Lyngby BK	1:2 penalties ✺
Danish 1 Division
30.08.25	Middelfart - Lyngby BK	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Lyngby BK - Horsens	0:0 ✺
19.08.25	Lyngby BK - Hillerød	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWTTL
- HB Køge
Danish 1 Division
13.09.25	HB Køge - Horsens	1:0 ✺
01.09.25	Esbjerg - HB Køge	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Hillerød - HB Køge	3:1 ✺
19.08.25	HB Køge - B.93 Copenhagen	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Middelfart - HB Køge	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Danish Landspokal Cup
26.09.23	HB Køge - Lyngby BK	2:4 ET
Club Friendly
08.07.22	Lyngby BK - HB Køge	2:1
19.02.22	HB Køge - Lyngby BK	0:3
Danish 1 Division
04.12.21	HB Køge - Lyngby BK	3:3
17.09.21	Lyngby BK - HB Køge	1:1
05.05.19	Lyngby BK - HB Køge	1:1
Club Friendly
24.02.19	Lyngby BK - HB Køge	1:2

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