Match Info

1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 30

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Middelfart Stadium (Middelfart)

Referee: Iriskic F. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Middelfart		HB Køge

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.53	Watch
	4.85	4.15	1.62	Watch
	5.08	4.46	1.65
	5.06	4.1	1.61	Watch
	4.6	3.9	1.57
	5.02	4.22	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.94 ↓ (5.06)	4.17 ↑ (4)	1.59 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Middelfart
18.9%

Draw
22.4%

HB Køge
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

23.2%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

22.4%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middelfart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middelfart than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Middelfart - HB Køge Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Middelfart will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Køge will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Middelfart (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Hutters J. (G) 18. Wielzen J. 28. Hegelund V. 12. Thomsen L. (C) 2. Matiebel P. 25. Pedersen S. 5. Zjajo B. 20. Koch R. 11. Villemoes J. 8. Praest M. 10. Akale A.	29. Sommergaard N. (G) 27. Romer M. 22. Jakobsen M. 2. Bust L. 18. Salah M. 7. Jensen M. (C) 28. Larsen G. 16. Hald S. 20. Gothler A. 9. Thomsen T. 10. Jensen Tue C.
Substitutes
21. Andersen E. 14. Barholt N. 9. Boesen M. 17. Greve M. 27. Hansen M. 26. Juul-Sandberg N. 7. Linnet J. 1. Radza C. (G) 24. Trier S.	35. Achton L. 17. Alkhoudari B. 1. Bayrak B. (G) 6. Brodersen R. 11. Mudi 24. Rasmussen M. 19. Semovski E. 8. Sorensen M. 23. Westergren M.
Coaches
Johannsen K.	Pedersen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
24', 0 - 1, Wielzen J. (Own goal),
31', 0 - 2, Jensen Tue C. ⚽, Hald S. (A),
33', 0 - 3, Thomsen T. ⚽, Gothler A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 4, Thomsen T. ⚽, Gothler A. (A),
57', Thomsen L. ↓, Linnet J. ↑,
65', Salah M. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
71', Pedersen S. ↓, Barholt N. ↑,
71', Akale A. ↓, Boesen M. ↑,
72', Villemoes J. ↓, Juul-Sandberg N. ↑,
72', Jensen Tue C. ↓, Mudi ↑,
72', Gothler A. ↓, Semovski E. ↑,
72', Bust L. ↓, Brodersen R. ↑,
79', Thomsen T. ↓, Sorensen M. ↑,
79', Zjajo B. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
83', Boesen M. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Brodersen R. 🟨,

Preview

Middelfart has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Køge is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Middelfart may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Køge is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Middelfart won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Middelfart won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Koge: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Koge	9	1	4	4	11:17	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middelfart G&BK
Danish 1 Division
08.05.26	Aalborg BK - Middelfart	1:3 ✺
01.05.26	Middelfart - Aarhus Fremad	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	B.93 Copenhagen - Middelfart	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Aarhus Fremad - Middelfart	5:1 ✺
18.04.26	Middelfart - Hobro	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WLLLL
- HB Køge
Danish 1 Division
09.05.26	Aarhus Fremad - HB Køge	0:0 ✺
01.05.26	HB Køge - B.93 Copenhagen	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	HB Køge - Aalborg BK	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Hobro - HB Køge	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	B.93 Copenhagen - HB Køge	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
10.04.26	HB Køge - Middelfart	2:0
29.11.25	HB Køge - Middelfart	1:2
16.08.25	Middelfart - HB Køge	2:2
Club Friendly
05.07.25	HB Køge - Middelfart	5:0

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