Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Lysekloster Family Arena (Lysekloster)


	Lysekloster		Vard Haugesund

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.9	3.9
	1.7	4.05	3.95
	1.76	3.93	4.07
	1.69	3.88	4.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.83)	3.94 ↑ (3.84)	3.99 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lysekloster
53.9%

Draw
23.2%

Vard Haugesund
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

24.1%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

22.5%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lysekloster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Vard Haugesund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lysekloster than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vard Haugesund than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Lysekloster - Vard Haugesund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bergslid F. (G) 14. Aaserud M. 32. Bolso J. 15. Brattreit E. 16. Brudvik S. 10. Dang A. 5. Eftevaag J. 4. Marthinussen N. 8. Marthinussen S. 17. Tufta D. 30. Vagen J.	1. Strand S. (G) 6. Banda P. 22. Brandeggen B. 19. Eide A. 23. Eikje M. 3. Helgesen S. 21. Jensen J. 7. Jensen S. (C) 26. Karamoko B. 10. Lille-Lovo S. 2. Lonning A.
Substitutes
22. Badsvik M. 7. Edvardsen J. 20. Haga S. 21. Hildal T. 26. Ihlen O. 31. Kvarven J. 25. Lie J. (G) 19. Stephensen K. 24. Vik S.	24. Emberland D. (G) 18. Hauge A. 5. Helgesen T. 17. Johnsen J. 4. Jonassen J. 14. Osdautaj L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Dang A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Eikje M. ↓, Hauge A. ↑,
56', Jensen J. ↓, Helgesen T. ↑,
62', Bolso J. 🟨,
64', Tufta D. ↓, Haga S. ↑,
64', Bolso J. ↓, Kvarven J. ↑,
64', Vagen J. ↓, Badsvik M. ↑,
74', Badsvik M. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lysekloster won 1.

Lysekloster is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vard Haugesund has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Lysekloster is considered a favorite.

We predict that Lysekloster will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lysekloster won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lysekloster won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lysekloster IL
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Lysekloster - Åsane	3:0 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
24.08.25	Jerv - Lysekloster	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Lysekloster - Sandviken	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Lysekloster - Sandviken	3:0 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
10.08.25	Notodden - Lysekloster	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWTWW
- Vard Haugesund
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Bjarg - Vard Haugesund	2:1 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
24.08.25	Vard Haugesund - Notodden	1:1 ✺
18.08.25	Brann 2 - Vard Haugesund	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Vidar - Vard Haugesund	1:4 ET ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
09.08.25	Vard Haugesund - Træff	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
05.07.25	Vard Haugesund - Lysekloster	4:4
31.08.24	Vard Haugesund - Lysekloster	1:3
13.04.24	Lysekloster - Vard Haugesund	1:3
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
31.08.19	Lysekloster - Vard Haugesund	0:0
25.05.19	Vard Haugesund - Lysekloster	2:0
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 3
08.10.16	Lysekloster - Vard Haugesund	0:1
18.06.16	Vard Haugesund - Lysekloster	0:2

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