Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 21

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Haapsalu Linnastaadion (Haapsalu)


	Läänemaa Haapsalu		Tallinna JK Legion

	1	X	2
	7.75	6.25	1.23
	8.6	6.5	1.19
	7.97	7.87	1.16
	7.72	7.75	1.20	Watch
	8.1	7.3	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.03 ↑ (5.9)	7.13 ↑ (5.08)	1.19 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Läänemaa Haapsalu
11.3%

Draw
12.7%

Tallinna JK Legion
76%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

17.8%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

16.9%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Läänemaa Haapsalu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Tallinna JK Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tallinna JK Legion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Läänemaa Haapsalu than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna JK Legion than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tallinna JK Legion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tallinna JK Legion Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 - Läänemaa (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Läänemaa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gutmann M. (G) 26. Hohlatov A. 67. Lust A. 84. Luks R. 31. Viispert A. 2. Vassiljev A. 37. Suder R. 45. Hein S. 53. Paes K. 15. Veski S. 10. Konks M.	23. Suhotski A. (G) 44. Borissov A. 39. Vasilenko D. 38. Vassilenko S. 37. Kolodchuk M. 35. Panov V. 16. Samborskyi D. 14. Visman L. 10. Jakovenko A. 9. Balta A. 7. Blinov A.
Substitutes
19. Laherand R.	. Malosev M. 22. Martsukov I. (G) 13. Pochekutov V. 15. Sedjakin P. 2. Zestjakov E. 19. Zutsenja E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, Vasilenko D. ⚽,
40', 🟨,
42', 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Jakovenko A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 0 - 3, Jakovenko A. ⚽,
67', 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Läänemaa has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Legion is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Läänemaa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Legion is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Legion will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Läänemaa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:23. (average 1.4:4.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Läänemaa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:17. (average 1.3:5.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Läänemaa JK Haapsalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
21.07.25	Tabasalu - Läänemaa Haapsalu	4:0 ✺
12.07.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tartu Kalev	0:7 ✺
05.07.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:6 ✺
29.06.25	Paide U21 - Läänemaa Haapsalu	3:0 ✺
19.06.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Jõhvi Phoenix	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Tallinna JK Legion
Estonian Esiliiga B
11.07.25	Tabasalu - Tallinna JK Legion	1:4 ✺
05.07.25	Tartu Kalev - Tallinna JK Legion	0:1 ✺
29.06.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Narva Trans U21	0:4 ✺
19.06.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Paide U21	2:2 ✺
14.06.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
29.05.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tallinna JK Legion	1:3
15.03.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Läänemaa Haapsalu	2:2
03.11.24	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tallinna JK Legion	1:6
03.08.24	Tallinna JK Legion - Läänemaa Haapsalu	4:1
Estonian Cup
17.08.21	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tallinna JK Legion	2:8

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