Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 29

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday


	Tabasalu		Tallinna JK Legion

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.90	3.10
	1.41	4.70	5.20
	2.08	4.00	2.82
	1.56	5.01	3.97	Watch
	1.91	3.95	2.85
	1.57	4.40	4.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.35)	4.33 ↓ (5)	3.67 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tabasalu
53.5%

Draw
21.3%

Tallinna JK Legion
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

17.9%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

14.3%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tabasalu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tabasalu's form might have worsened.

Tallinna JK Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tallinna JK Legion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna JK Legion than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tallinna JK Legion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tabasalu - Tallinna JK Legion Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Legion (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4 - over (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Timofejev I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 1, Lust A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tabasalu won 1.

Recent form of Tabasalu has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Legion is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Legion may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tabasalu is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tabasalu won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tabasalu won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Tabasalu	30	10	3	17	44:81	-37	33
10	Legion	31	3	3	25	26:116	-90	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
11.09.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tabasalu	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Tabasalu - Tammeka U21	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tabasalu	4:0 ✺
24.08.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Tabasalu	6:0 ✺
20.08.26	Tabasalu - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLLT
- Tallinna JK Legion
Estonian Esiliiga B
10.09.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Tartu Kalev	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Tallinna JK Legion	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Pärnu Vaprus U21	1:5 ✺
24.08.26	Levadia U19 - Tallinna JK Legion	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
18.07.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Tabasalu	2:0
27.05.26	Tabasalu - Tallinna JK Legion	2:3
24.04.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Tabasalu	3:2
18.10.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Tabasalu	0:3
11.07.25	Tabasalu - Tallinna JK Legion	1:4
01.06.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Tabasalu	2:2
03.05.25	Tabasalu - Tallinna JK Legion	1:0

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