Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 20

Date: 21 July 2025, Monday

Location: Tabasalu Arena (Tabasalu)


	Tabasalu		Läänemaa Haapsalu

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.75	8.25
	1.17	6.7	9.6
	1.15	8.41	9.1
	1.16	7.97	10.26	Watch
	1.12	7.3	12
	1.23	6	8.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.34)	7.02 ↑ (5)	9.65 ↑ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tabasalu
77.5%

Draw
13%

Läänemaa Haapsalu
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

13.4%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tabasalu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tabasalu's performance.

Läänemaa Haapsalu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (-27.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tabasalu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Läänemaa Haapsalu than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Läänemaa Haapsalu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Tabasalu - Läänemaa Haapsalu Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tabasalu will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kristel R. (G) 18. Nilsen J. 16. Pelt K. 14. Moor A. 7. Pormeister K. 11. Matvejev T. 4. Kokla J. (C) 10. Lindemann R. 80. Taal J. 22. Vilisoo E. 76. Altmets K.	1. Gutmann M. (G) 19. Laherand R. 67. Lust A. 31. Viispert A. 20. Nurme K. 14. Oispuu M. 37. Suder R. 7. Valkiainen M. (C) 21. Vassiljev A. 99. Skrynnyk D. 10. Konks M.
Substitutes
12. Ilves R. (G) 25. Paap S. 77. Roste R. 24. Sarapuu A. 8. Tasa J. 26. Vuks H. O.	45. Hein S. 53. Paes K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Altmets K. ⚽,
29', 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, Vilisoo E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 🟨,
62', 3 - 0, Lindemann R. ⚽,
75', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
85', 4 - 0, Roste R. ⚽,

Preview

Tabasalu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Läänemaa is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Tabasalu is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tabasalu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Tabasalu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
11.07.25	Tabasalu - Tallinna JK Legion	1:4 ✺
05.07.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tabasalu	5:2 ✺
02.07.25	Paide U21 - Tabasalu	0:2 ✺
28.06.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Tabasalu	3:2 ✺
19.06.25	Tabasalu - Tartu Kalev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLW
- Läänemaa JK Haapsalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
12.07.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tartu Kalev	0:7 ✺
05.07.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:6 ✺
29.06.25	Paide U21 - Läänemaa Haapsalu	3:0 ✺
19.06.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Jõhvi Phoenix	1:4 ✺
14.06.25	Tabasalu - Läänemaa Haapsalu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
14.06.25	Tabasalu - Läänemaa Haapsalu	1:1
26.04.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tabasalu	1:2

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