Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 21

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Lohmühle (Lubeck)

Referee: Fuchs N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Lübeck		Waldhof Mannheim

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	2.7
	2.37	3.5	2.7
	2.4	3.5	2.75	Watch
	2.46	3.45	2.87
	2.5	3.47	2.89
	2.25	3.3	2.62
	2.42	3.4	2.65	Watch
	2.33	3.3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.29)	3.4 ↓ (3.45)	2.74 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lübeck
38.9%

Draw
27.3%

Waldhof Mannheim
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

26.5%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

27%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Waldhof Mannheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waldhof Mannheim than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	18.2%	0%

Lübeck - Waldhof Mannheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Lübeck will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lübeck: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klewin P. (G) 22. Sommer L. 27. Reddemann S. 30. Lohden J. 37. Sternberg J. 8. Egerer F. 20. Taffertshofer U. (C) 7. Hauptmann M. 25. Gozusirin T. 10. Farrona-Pulido M. 14. Akono C.	30. Hawryluk L. (G) 28. Carls J. 15. Karbstein M. 5. Seegert M. (C) 18. Jans L. 8. Wagner F. 21. Rieckmann J. 36. Arase K. 7. Bahn H. B. B. 9. Gouras M. 13. Boyd T.
Substitutes
34. Adou E. 31. Boland M. 39. Breier P. 29. Facklam M. 17. Grupe T. 3. Kastenhofer N. 35. Stein Y. (G) 13. Thiel M. 21. Velasco R.	26. Albenas M. 1. Bartels J. (G) 11. Hawkins J. 19. Herrmann C. 20. Lockl P. 32. Okpala K. 3. Riedel J. 4. Sechelmann T. 10. Sohm P.
Coaches
Schnorrenberg F.	Rehm R.

Preview

Lübeck is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Waldhof is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lübeck could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Lübeck have a series of guest games.

Recently Waldhof have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vfb Lübeck
Club Friendly
14.01.24	Hansa Rostock - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
19.12.23	Sandhausen - Lübeck	1:2 ✺
15.12.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Lübeck	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Lübeck - Ingolstadt	0:4 ✺
02.12.23	Duisburg - Lübeck	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWLLL
- Waldhof Mannheim
German 3 Bundesliga
20.12.23	Waldhof Mannheim - 1860 München	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue	3:0 ✺
09.12.23	Sandhausen - Waldhof Mannheim	3:0 ✺
02.12.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
24.11.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Verl	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
19.08.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Lübeck	2:2
18.04.21	Waldhof Mannheim - Lübeck	3:2
13.01.21	Lübeck - Waldhof Mannheim	0:1

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