Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 18

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Lübeck		Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.15
	2.95	3.5	2.2
	3	3.5	2.2	Watch
	3.14	3.63	2.27
	3.14	3.63	2.27
	2.8	3.4	2.1
	2.99	3.52	2.17	Watch
	2.95	3.4	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.25)	3.5 ↓ (3.64)	2.19 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lübeck
31%

Draw
26.6%

Ingolstadt
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

25.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

25.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Lübeck - Ingolstadt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klewin P. (G) 7. Hauptmann M. 17. Grupe T. (C) 27. Reddemann S. 37. Sternberg J. 31. Boland M. 8. Egerer F. 20. Taffertshofer U. 25. Gozusirin T. 29. Facklam M. 14. Akono C.	1. Funk M. (G) 20. Deichmann Y. 16. Malone R. 32. Lorenz S. 22. Costly M. 34. Frode L. (C) 43. Keidel F. 29. Kopacz D. 23. Seiffert M. 37. Testroet P. 7. Mause J.
Substitutes
39. Breier P. 28. Didzilatis G. (G) 10. Farrona-Pulido M. 3. Kastenhofer N. 30. Lohden J. 33. Schneider J. 22. Sommer L. 13. Thiel M. 21. Velasco R.	9. Beleme D. 6. Guwara L. 48. Kayo B. 33. Krupa J. 25. Llugiqi A. 27. Nduka D. 28. Paul H. 40. Ponath M. (G) 38. Zeitler D.
Coaches
Pfeiffer L.	Kollner M.

Preview

Lübeck is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ingolstadt is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ingolstadt will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
02.12.23	Duisburg - Lübeck	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Lübeck - Arminia Bielefeld	2:2 ✺
11.11.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
04.11.23	Lübeck - Unterhaching	2:3 ✺
29.10.23	Verl - Lübeck	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTTLL
- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
02.12.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Ingolstadt - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Duisburg - Ingolstadt	1:2 ✺
04.11.23	Ingolstadt - Borussia Dortmund II	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Ingolstadt	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
21.04.21	Lübeck - Ingolstadt	1:1
05.12.20	Ingolstadt - Lübeck	1:1

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