Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 12

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Lübeck		Viktoria Köln

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.15
	3.1	3.4	2.2
	3.2	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.32	3.56	2.27
	3.32	3.56	2.21
	2.88	3.4	2.15
	3.1	3.52	2.12	Watch
	2.85	3.35	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.95)	3.45 ↑ (3.45)	2.18 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lübeck
30%

Draw
27.1%

Viktoria Köln
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

27.1%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

26.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Viktoria Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Viktoria Köln aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Lübeck - Viktoria Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lübeck will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Viktoria Köln will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klewin P. (G) 23. Daube M. 17. Grupe T. (C) 27. Reddemann S. 24. Rudiger M. 31. Boland M. 8. Egerer F. 7. Hauptmann M. 25. Gozusirin T. 21. Velasco R. 39. Breier P.	1. Voll B. A. (G) 3. Schultz M. 4. Lorch J. 15. Greger C. 28. Koronkiewicz P. 6. Russo S. 19. Henning B. 37. May N. 8. Bogicevic D. 30. Marseiler L. 11. Mustafa V.
Substitutes
2. Adou E. 28. Didzilatis G. (G) 10. Farrona-Pulido M. 9. Hovi K. 30. Lohden J. 33. Schneider J. 37. Sternberg J. 20. Taffertshofer U. 13. Thiel M.	13. de Meester L. 16. Engelhardt F. 23. Fritz M. 7. Handle S. 38. Hong Seok-ju 39. Kubatta D. 21. Najar S. 24. Rauhut K. (G) 33. Sticker J.
Coaches
Pfeiffer L.	Janssen O.

Preview

Lübeck is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Viktoria Köln is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Viktoria Köln will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lübeck won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
14.10.23	Jahn Regensburg - Lübeck	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Lübeck - Freiburg II	0:1 ✺
03.10.23	Saarbrücken - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Lübeck - Hallescher	2:2 ✺
23.09.23	Preußen Münster - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLTTT
- Viktoria Köln
German 3 Bundesliga
14.10.23	Viktoria Köln - Erzgebirge Aue	2:2 ✺
07.10.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Viktoria Köln	1:1 ✺
03.10.23	Viktoria Köln - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
30.09.23	Sandhausen - Viktoria Köln	3:3 ✺
23.09.23	Viktoria Köln - Duisburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
06.03.21	Lübeck - Viktoria Köln	1:2
30.10.20	Viktoria Köln - Lübeck	0:2

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