Match Info

3. Liga - Round 24

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: Sportpark Hohenberg (Cologne)

Referee: Wilke M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 12
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Viktoria Köln		Erzgebirge Aue

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.05	Watch
	2.27	3.49	3.14
	2.1	3.55	3.21	Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	2.18	3.36	3.21	Watch
	2.16	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.15)	3.37 ↑ (3.3)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Viktoria Köln
42.5%

Draw
27.4%

Erzgebirge Aue
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

27.8%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

25.5%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Köln than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	23.1%	23.1%

Viktoria Köln - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Viktoria Köln will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Aue will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Viktoria Köln: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Viktoria Köln (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Schulz A. (G) 19. Sponsel M. 22. Boboy V. 2. Dietz L. 7. Handle S. 21. Wolf L. M. 8. Engelhardt F. 41. Kozuki S. 5. Munst L. 10. Otto D. 23. Zank B.	1. Mannel M. (G) 17. Fallmann P. 23. Barylla A. 25. Zobel T. 29. Collins J. 34. Stefaniak M. 20. Fabisch J. 11. Uhlmann E. 8. Clausen M. 15. Bar M. 45. Ocansey V. A. F.
Substitutes
3. Agyekum J. 6. Eisenhuth T. 29. Popp L. 40. Richter D. (G) 34. Ronstadt F. 16. Sachse J. 30. Tonye Y. 11. Velasco R.	9. Bornschein R. 24. Ehlers J. 10. Gunther-Schmidt J. 19. Guttau J. 22. Lord L. (G) 39. Schmid M. 30. Seiffert M. 5. Simnica L. 7. Weinhauer E.
Coaches
Wilhelm M.	Dabrowski C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Zank B. ⚽, Otto D. (A),
25', Boboy V. 🟨,
27', Wolf L. M. 🟨,
31', Ocansey V. A. F. 🟨,
37', Uhlmann E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Boboy V. ↓, Eisenhuth T. ↑,
46', Ocansey V. A. F. ↓, Guttau J. ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Zobel T. (Own goal),
63', 2 - 1, Bar M. ⚽,
70', Kozuki S. ↓, Tonye Y. ↑,
70', Engelhardt F. ↓, Ronstadt F. ↑,
72', Clausen M. ↓, Ehlers J. ↑,
72', Uhlmann E. ↓, Gunther-Schmidt J. ↑,
74', Munst L. 🟨,
82', 2 - 2, Ehlers J. ⚽,
85', Collins J. ↓, Seiffert M. ↑,
89', Fallmann P. 🟨,
90+2', Stefaniak M. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viktoria Köln won 2.

Viktoria Köln has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aue is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Viktoria Köln might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Viktoria Köln won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Viktoria Köln won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Viktoria Koln	7	5	0	2	19:9	10	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Köln
German 3 Bundesliga
07.02.26	Jahn Regensburg - Viktoria Köln	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Viktoria Köln - Waldhof Mannheim	1:3 ✺
23.01.26	Viktoria Köln - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Schweinfurt - Viktoria Köln	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Viktoria Köln - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLWLT
- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
07.02.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Saarbrücken	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	TSV Havelse - Erzgebirge Aue	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Ulm 1846	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Hansa Rostock - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Union Berlin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
13.09.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Viktoria Köln	0:3
09.03.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Viktoria Köln	2:1
28.09.24	Viktoria Köln - Erzgebirge Aue	2:0
16.03.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Viktoria Köln	2:1
14.10.23	Viktoria Köln - Erzgebirge Aue	2:2
29.04.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Viktoria Köln	1:1
05.11.22	Viktoria Köln - Erzgebirge Aue	3:0

Upcoming Matches