Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 9

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: Ludwigspark Stadion (Saarbrücken)

Referee: Wittmann T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Saarbrücken		Lübeck

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5.75
	1.52	4.33	5.5
	1.5	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.53	4.71	5.79
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.5	4.4	5.4	Watch
	1.49	4.2	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.61)	4.33 ↑ (4.13)	5.52 ↑ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Saarbrücken
61.9%

Draw
21.4%

Lübeck
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

22.4%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

22.1%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	5.9%	5.9%

Saarbrücken - Lübeck Predictions

Users Predictions: Saarbrücken will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Paterok T. (G) 29. Boeder L. 8. Zeitz M. (C) 14. Uaferro B. 7. Rizzuto C. 33. Kerber L. 19. Gaus M. 31. Neudecker R. 10. Rabihic K. 20. Gunther-Schmidt J. 9. Brunker K.	1. Klewin P. (G) 17. Grupe T. (C) 30. Lohden J. 27. Reddemann S. 7. Hauptmann M. 8. Egerer F. 31. Boland M. 37. Sternberg J. 25. Gozusirin T. 39. Breier P. 33. Schneider J.
Substitutes
23. Civeja T. 21. Di Michele F. 25. Naifi A. 38. Sahin L. 1. Schreiber T. (G) 6. Sontheimer P. 22. Stehle S. F. 16. Thoelke B.	14. Akono C. 28. Didzilatis G. (G) 11. Drinkuth F. 10. Farrona-Pulido M. 3. Kastenhofer N. 24. Rudiger M. 22. Sommer L. 20. Taffertshofer U. 21. Velasco R.
Coaches
Ziehl R.	Pfeiffer L.

Preview

Saarbrücken is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lübeck is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lübeck could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Saarbrücken is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Saarbrücken won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Saarbrücken won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
29.09.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Saarbrücken	2:6 ✺
23.09.23	Saarbrücken - Waldhof Mannheim	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Unterhaching - Saarbrücken	0:0 ✺
01.09.23	Saarbrücken - Borussia Dortmund II	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Ingolstadt - Saarbrücken	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTTWT
- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
30.09.23	Lübeck - Hallescher	2:2 ✺
23.09.23	Preußen Münster - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Lübeck - Dynamo Dresden	0:1 ✺
02.09.23	Ulm 1846 - Lübeck	3:0 ✺
26.08.23	Lübeck - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
24.01.21	Saarbrücken - Lübeck	0:0
19.09.20	Lübeck - Saarbrücken	1:1

Upcoming Matches