Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 10

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion Lohmühle (Lubeck)

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Lübeck		Freiburg II

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3
	2.15	3.5	3.2
	2.1	3.5	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.63	3.29
	2.1	3.4	3
	2.12	3.48	3.13	Watch
	2.14	3.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.17)	3.47 ↑ (3.38)	3.12 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lübeck
43.5%

Draw
26.7%

Freiburg II
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

27.2%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

26.9%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.8%	4.6%	1.5%

Lübeck - Freiburg II Predictions

Users Predictions: Lübeck will win (61 of 65 users predict this - 93.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.01% – 99.69%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Kirschke F. (G) 17. Grupe T. (C) 30. Lohden J. 27. Reddemann S. 22. Sommer L. 8. Egerer F. 25. Gozusirin T. 24. Rudiger M. 7. Hauptmann M. 31. Boland M. 39. Breier P.	40. Sauter N. (C) 17. Fallmann P. 13. Muller S. 11. Stark J. 3. Lungwitz A. 23. Fahrner P. 27. Allgaier F. 28. Johansson R. 8. Lienhard P. 36. Ambros L. 18. Al Ghaddioui H.
Substitutes
23. Daube M. 28. Didzilatis G. (G) 40. Diestel P. 10. Farrona-Pulido M. 3. Kastenhofer N. 33. Schneider J. 20. Taffertshofer U. 13. Thiel M. 21. Velasco R.	25. Bichsel J. 19. Bouebari F. 6. Braun-Schumacher S. 33. Hornung S. (G) 14. Knappe D. 30. Pellegrino G. 20. Worner M.
Coaches
Pfeiffer L.	Stamm T.

Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Freiburg II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lübeck will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
03.10.23	Saarbrücken - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Lübeck - Hallescher	2:2 ✺
23.09.23	Preußen Münster - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Lübeck - Dynamo Dresden	0:1 ✺
02.09.23	Ulm 1846 - Lübeck	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTTLL
- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
03.10.23	Freiburg II - Sandhausen	0:2 ✺
30.09.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Freiburg II	3:1 ✺
24.09.23	Freiburg II - Ingolstadt	1:4 ✺
16.09.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Freiburg II	0:2 ✺
02.09.23	Freiburg II - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLWL

Upcoming Matches