Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 30

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Mérida AD		Córdoba

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.2	1.73
	4.4	3.2	1.72
	4.75	3.4	1.75
	4.7	3.37	1.8
	4.7	3.37	1.8
	4.6	3.38	1.77
	4.6	3.3	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (4.13)	3.32 ↑ (3.15)	1.76 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
20%

Draw
27.7%

Córdoba
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

28.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

28.6%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Córdoba than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Mérida AD - Córdoba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juanpa (G) 19. Felipe 4. Bonaque M. 22. Bourdal T. 21. Llacer L. 16. Martin J. 15. Juanjo 5. Acosta L. 14. Beneit R. 23. Rodriguez D. 9. Chuma	13. Marin C. (G) 21. Albarran C. 4. Lapena A. 27. Barboza M. 3. Calderon J. 23. Carracedo C. 22. Diarra Y. 7. Kike 6. Sala A. 17. Adilson 9. Zalazar K.
Substitutes
12. Falcon E. 6. Gutierrez I. 2. Midon D. 11. Mizzian M. 8. Ndongo N. 3. Prada R. 7. Sandoval D. 10. Serra D. 13. Vicente D. (G)	10. Bouzaidi S. 18. Garcia C. 11. Leiva A. 16. Martinez J. 14. Recio 2. Rodriguez I. 15. Ruiz I. 1. Tarres L. (G) 19. Toril A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Adilson ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, Zalazar K. ⚽,
43', Zalazar K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Beneit R. ↓, Sandoval D. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Chuma ⚽,
62', Juanjo 🟨,
63', 2 - 2, Sandoval D. ⚽,
65', Zalazar K. ↓, Ruiz I. ↑,
70', Chuma ↓, Ndongo N. ↑,
70', Martin J. ↓, Prada R. ↑,
73', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
74', 🟨,
76', Carracedo C. 🟨,
77', Diarra Y. ↓, Toril A. ↑,
84', Carracedo C. ↓, Bouzaidi S. ↑,
84', Adilson ↓, Leiva A. ↑,
85', Juanjo ↓, Gutierrez I. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 1.

Recent matches Mérida AD is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Córdoba is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Córdoba is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.03.24	Recreativo Huelva - Mérida AD	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Mérida AD - Alcoyano	1:3 ✺
10.03.24	San Fernando - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Mérida AD - Atlético Baleares	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Ibiza - Mérida AD	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LLWWT
- Córdoba CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.03.24	Córdoba - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Castellón - Córdoba	2:3 ✺
10.03.24	Córdoba - Atlético Baleares	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Antequera - Córdoba	2:3 ✺
25.02.24	Córdoba - Melilla	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.10.23	Córdoba - Mérida AD	2:1
Club Friendly
09.08.23	Mérida AD - Córdoba	0:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.05.23	Mérida AD - Córdoba	0:0
17.12.22	Córdoba - Mérida AD	1:2
Club Friendly
10.08.22	Córdoba - Mérida AD	3:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.04.22	Mérida AD - Córdoba	0:1
27.11.21	Córdoba - Mérida AD	3:0

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