Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 38

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana)

Referee: Mallo E. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
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Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
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	Castellón		Córdoba

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.5	5	Watch
	1.57	4	4.75
	1.55	4.35	4.95	Watch
	1.56	4.56	5.39
	1.56	4.58	5.09	Watch
	1.53	4.2	5
	1.58	4.58	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.65)	4.4 ↑ (4.05)	5.07 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
60.2%

Draw
21.3%

Córdoba
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

22.9%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

21.9%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Córdoba than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Castellón - Córdoba Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Castellón (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Castellón will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Matthys R. (G) 22. Mellot J. 3. Brignani F. 5. Jimenez A. (C) 12. Alcazar L. 16. Cipenga B. 15. Gerenabarrena B. 25. Ronaldo 19. Jakobsen A. 21. Calatrava A. 9. Camara O.	1. Alvarez I. (G) 21. Albarran C. (C) 4. Alex Martin 16. Alves R. 2. Vilarrasa I. 14. Guardiola S. 20. del Moral A. 30. Requena D. 23. Carracedo C. 18. Fuentes A. 11. Medina K.
Substitutes
1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 11. Aurelio D. 29. De Nipoti T. 6. Doue M. 23. Garcia A. 7. Mabil A. 17. Ruiz S. 14. Sanchez R. 18. Santiago P. 4. Sienra A. 10. Suero I. 2. Tincho	3. Alcedo J. 5. Bri D. 19. de Almeida D. 10. Gonzalez J. 25. Goti Lopez M. 13. Marin C. (G) 9. Obolskiy N. 24. Ortiz P. 6. Percan 15. Sintes X. 22. Trilli 7. Zidane T.
Coaches
Hernandez P.	Ania I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Fuentes A. 🟨,
15', Gerenabarrena B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', del Moral A. 🟨,
53', 0 - 1, Fuentes A. ⚽, Medina K. (A),
54', Guardiola S. 🟨,
61', Medina K. ↓, Bri D. ↑,
61', Guardiola S. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
64', 0 - 2, Fuentes A. ⚽, Bri D. (A),
65', Gerenabarrena B. ↓, Mabil A. ↑,
65', Alcazar L. ↓, Sienra A. ↑,
68', Fuentes A. ↓, Percan ↑,
73', Ronaldo ↓, Suero I. ↑,
73', Camara O. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
79', Alvarez I. 🟨,
81', Albarran C. 🟨,
82', 1 - 2, Garcia A. ⚽, Mabil A. (A),
83', Jimenez A. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
83', del Moral A. ↓, Goti Lopez M. ↑,
83', Carracedo C. ↓, Zidane T. ↑,
88', Zidane T. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).

Castellón is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Córdoba is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Castellón is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Córdoba: Adilson (Knee Injury) Fomeyem F. (Ankle Injury)

We predict that Castellón will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Castellon	8	6	2	0	15:3	12	20
17	Cordoba	9	3	0	6	14:20	-6	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
25.04.26	Málaga - Castellón	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Castellón - Burgos	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Mirandés - Castellón	2:2 ✺
06.04.26	Castellón - Granada	3:2 ✺
02.04.26	Castellón - Almería	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTWW
- Córdoba CF
Spanish LaLiga2
26.04.26	Córdoba - Sporting de Gijón	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Leonesa - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Córdoba - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Cádiz - Córdoba	1:3 ✺
31.03.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Córdoba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
05.09.25	Córdoba - Castellón	2:1
19.01.25	Castellón - Córdoba	1:2
10.11.24	Córdoba - Castellón	2:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.03.24	Castellón - Córdoba	2:3
09.12.23	Córdoba - Castellón	2:0

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